Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35730054›Full record

ArticleEnvironment systems & decisions2022

Pandemic wave trends in COVID-19 cases, mobility reduction, and climate parameters in major metropolitan areas in the United States.

Sheree A Pagsuyoin, Gustavo Salcedo, Joost R Santos, Christopher B Skinner

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environment systems & decisions, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Coupling wastewater-based epidemiology with data-driven machine learning for managing public health risks.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2025
    Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Sheree A PagsuyoinDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Massachusetts Lowell, Lowell, MA 01854 USA.
Gustavo SalcedoDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Massachusetts Lowell, Lowell, MA 01854 USA.
Joost R SantosEngineering Systems & Management Engineering, George Washington University, Washington, DC USA.
Christopher B SkinnerEnvironmental, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Massachusetts Lowell, Lowell, MA USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In this paper, we analyzed the association among trends in COVID-19 cases, climate, air quality, and mobility changes during the first and second waves of the pandemic in five major metropolitan counties in the United States: Maricopa in Arizona, Cook in Illinois, Los Angeles in California, Suffolk in Massachusetts, and New York County in New York. These areas represent a range of climate conditions, geographies, economies, and state-mandated social distancing restrictions. In the first wave of the pandemic, cases were correlated with humidity in Maricopa, and temperature in Maricopa and Los Angeles. In Suffolk and New York, cases were correlated with mobility changes in recreation, grocery, parks, and transit stations. Neither cases nor death counts were strongly correlated with air quality. Periodic fluctuations in mobility were observed for residential areas during weekends, resulting in stronger correlation coefficients when only weekday datasets were included in the analysis. We also analyzed case-mobility correlations when mobility days were lagged, and found that the strongest correlation in the first wave occurred between 12 and 14 lag days (optimal at 13 days). There was stronger but greater variability in correlation coefficients across metropolitan areas in the first pandemic wave than in the second wave, notably in recreation areas and parks. In the second wave, there was less variability in correlations over lagged time and geographic locations. Overall, we did not find conclusive evidence to support associations between lower cases and climate in all areas. Furthermore, the differences in cases-mobility correlation trends during the two pandemic waves are indicative of the effects of travel restrictions in the early phase of the pandemic and gradual return to travel routines in the later phase. This study highlights the utility of mobility data in understanding the dynamics of disease transmission. It also emphasizes the criticality of timeline and local context in interpreting transmission trends. Mobility data can capture community response to local travel restrictions at different phases of their implementation and provide insights on how these responses evolve over time alongside disease trends.

Indexed as

Air qualityClimateCOVID-19MetropolitanMobilityPandemic wave

Identifiers

PMID35730054
PMCPMC9192927

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.