ArticleStudies in family planning2022
Fertility Preferences and Contraceptive Change in Low- and Middle-Income Countries.
Article in Studies in family planning, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Effective strategies for increasing the uptake of modern methods of family planning in South Asia: a systematic review and meta-analysis.BMC women's health · 2024Pooled it
- Fertility Desires and Contraceptive Transition.Population and development review · 2024Article
- Health Transitions and the Rise of Modern Contraceptive Prevalence: Demand, Access, and Choice.Population and development review · 2024Article
- Assessing Trends in the Desire to Avoid Pregnancy: A Cautionary Note.Studies in family planning · 2024Article
- Evaluating the Effectiveness of Educational Interventions in Family Planning for Men in Developing Countries: A Systematic Review.JMA journal · 2024Article
- Exploring machine learning algorithms for predicting fertility preferences among reproductive age women in Nigeria.Frontiers in digital health · 2024Article
- Empowering women can increase modern contraception use among women with no fertility intentions in South Asia.Women's health (London, England)Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
Abstract
The past four decades have witnessed an enormous increase in modern contraception in most low- and middle-income countries. We examine the extent to which this change can be attributed to changes in fertility preferences versus fuller implementation of fertility preferences, a distinction at the heart of intense debates about the returns to investments in family planning services. We analyze national survey data from five major survey programs: World Fertility Surveys, Demographic Health Surveys, Reproductive Health Surveys, Pan-Arab Project for Child Development or Family Health, and Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys. We perform regression decomposition of change between successive surveys in 59 countries (330 decompositions in total). Change in preferences accounts for little of the change: less than 10 percent in a basic decomposition and about 15 percent under a more elaborate specification. This is a powerful empirical refutation of the view that contraceptive change has been driven principally by reductions in demand for children. We show that this outcome is not surprising given that the distribution of women according to fertility preferences is surprisingly stable over time.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.