Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35726635›Full record

ArticleCirculation2022

Association of Extreme Heat and Cardiovascular Mortality in the United States: A County-Level Longitudinal Analysis From 2008 to 2017.

Sameed Ahmed M Khatana, Rachel M Werner, Peter W Groeneveld

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Circulation, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 51 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
51citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
10.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

51 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 107 citations in OpenAlex.

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  18. Cardiovascular challenges of aging in a hotter environment: a narrative review.Journal of applied physiology (Bethesda, Md. : 1985) · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Sameed Ahmed M KhatanaDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine (S.A.M.K.), University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia.ORCID 0000-0002-1345-3004
Rachel M WernerDivision of General Internal Medicine (R.M.W., P.W.G.), Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia.
Peter W GroeneveldPenn Cardiovascular Outcomes, Quality, & Evaluative Research Center (S.A.M.K., P.W.G.), University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia.ORCID 0000-0002-7374-4292
Veterans Health Administration · USUniversity of Pennsylvania · US

Funding

Association of Health Insurance with Access to Cardiovascular CareK23HL153772 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI KHATANA, SAMEED AHMED MUSTAFA · 2020 to 2024
$981k
NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL153772
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundExtreme-heat events are increasing as a result of climate change. Prior studies, typically limited to urban settings, suggest an association between extreme heat and cardiovascular mortality. However, the extent of the burden of cardiovascular deaths associated with extreme heat across the United States and in different age, sex, or race and ethnicity subgroups is unclear.

methodsCounty-level daily maximum heat index levels for all counties in the contiguous United States in summer months (May-September) and monthly cardiovascular mortality rates for adults ≥20 years of age were obtained. For each county, an extreme-heat day was identified if the maximum heat index was ≥90 °F (32.2 °C) and in the 99th percentile of the maximum heat index in the baseline period (1979-2007) for that day. Spatial empirical Bayes smoothed monthly cardiovascular mortality rates from 2008 to 2017 were the primary outcome. A Poisson fixed-effects regression model was estimated with the monthly number of extreme-heat days as the independent variable of interest. The model included time-fixed effects and time-varying environmental, economic, demographic, and health care-related variables.

resultsAcross 3108 counties, from 2008 to 2017, each additional extreme-heat day was associated with a 0.12% (95% CI, 0.04%-0.21%;

conclusionsExtreme-heat days were associated with higher adult cardiovascular mortality rates in the contiguous United States between 2008 and 2017. This association was heterogeneous among age, sex, race, and ethnicity subgroups. As extreme-heat events increase, the burden of cardiovascular mortality may continue to increase, and the disparities between demographic subgroups may widen.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesExtreme HeatAdultAgedBayes TheoremClimate ChangeFemaleHot TemperatureHumansMaleUnited Statesclimate changeextreme heathealth status disparitiespopulation health

Identifiers

PMID35726635
PMCPMC9308701
OpenAlexW4283277266

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.