ArticleJournal of air transport management2021
Testing the differentiated impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on air travel demand considering social inclusion.
Article in Journal of air transport management, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.
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Who cites it
8 citing papers in PubMed, 34 citations in OpenAlex.
- U.S. network and low-cost carriers' performance in response to COVID-19: Strictness of government policies and passengers' panic.Research in transportation business & management · 2023Article
- Impact of perceptions and attitudes on air travel choices in the post-COVID-19 era: A cross-national analysis of stated preference data.Travel behaviour & society · 2023Article
- The Long-Term effects of COVID-19 on travel behavior in the United States: A panel study on work from home, mode choice, online shopping, and air travel.Transportation research. Part F, Traffic psychology and behaviour · 2022Article
- Exploring the co-movements between COVID-19 pandemic and international air traffic: A global perspective based on wavelet analysis.International migration (Geneva, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- ANN-Based traffic volume prediction models in response to COVID-19 imposed measures.Sustainable cities and society · 2022Article
- STARTUPS: Founding airlines during COVID-19 - A hopeless endeavor or an ample opportunity for a better aviation system?Transport policy · 2022Article
- Benchmarking the recovery of air travel demands for US airports during the COVID-19 Pandemic.Transportation research interdisciplinary perspectives · 2022Article
- The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on China's Airline Industry.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The economic downturn and the air travel crisis triggered by the recent coronavirus pandemic pose a substantial threat to the new consumer class of many emerging economies. In Brazil, considerable improvements in social inclusion have fostered the emergence of hundreds of thousands of first-time fliers over the past decades. We apply a two-step regression methodology in which the first step consists of identifying air transport markets characterized by greater social inclusion, using indicators of the local economies' income distribution, credit availability, and access to the Internet. In the second step, we inspect the drivers of the plunge in air travel demand since the pandemic began, differentiating markets by their predicted social inclusion intensity. After controlling for potential endogeneity stemming from the spread of COVID-19 through air travel, our results suggest that short and low-density routes are among the most impacted airline markets and that business-oriented routes are more impacted than leisure ones. Finally, we estimate that a market with 1% higher social inclusion is associated with a 0.153%-0.166% more pronounced decline in demand during the pandemic. Therefore, markets that have benefited from greater social inclusion in the country may be the most vulnerable to the current crisis.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.