ArticleTechnological forecasting and social change2021
Impact of COVID-19 on the travel and tourism industry.
Article in Technological forecasting and social change, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 86 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
86 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Lead and arsenic intoxications by traditional and alternative medicine: men are more sensitive than women.Naunyn-Schmiedeberg's archives of pharmacology · 2025Pooled it
- Article
- Modeling the effectiveness of RT-PCR, RT-LAMP, and antigen testing strategies for COVID-19 control.BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Longitudinal insights into the industrial IoT-green intellectual capital Nexus in the post-COVID era using SEM‑ANN approach.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- The impact of residents' knowledge and perception of marine sports tourism destinations on post-COVID-19 tourism attitudes: the mediating effect of tourism acceptance and moderating effect of place identity.Frontiers in sports and active living · 2025Article
- Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Livelihoods and Social Support Mechanisms in Selected Regions of Tanzania: A Qualitative Study.The East African health research journal · 2025Article
- The Paradox of Digital Health: Why Middle-Aged Adults Outperform Young Adults in Health Management Utilization via Technology.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- The Impact of Social Media and Infection Perception on the Intentions of Recreational Vehicle Tours: An Extended Model of Goal-Directed Behavior.Behavioral sciences (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Culture and effectiveness of distance restriction policies: evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2024Article
- The new framework of innovation biosphere for analysing innovation policies facing COVID-19 grand challenge.Health research policy and systems · 2024Article
- The Inverted U-Shaped Relationship Between Socio-Economic Status and Infections During the COVID-19 Pandemic.GeoHealth · 2024Article
- Article
- How critical is SME financial literacy and digital financial access for financial and economic development in the expanded BRICS block?Frontiers in big data · 2024Article
- Effects of climate and environment on migratory old people with allergic diseases in China: Protocol for a Sanya cohort study.Heliyon · 2023Article
- Exploring the spatial pattern of community urban green spaces and COVID-19 risk in Wuhan based on a random forest model.Heliyon · 2023Article
- The threat of COVID-19 to the conservation of Tanzanian national parks.Biological conservation · 2023Article
- Leisure mobility changes during the COVID-19 pandemic - An analysis of survey and mobile phone data in Sweden.Research in transportation business & management · 2023Article
- Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Tourist Travel Risk Perception and Travel Behaviour: A Case Study of Poland.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Mental Health of Tourism Employees Post COVID-19 Pandemic: A Test of Antecedents and Moderators.European journal of investigation in health, psychology and education · 2023Article
- Quantifying human mobility resilience to the COVID-19 pandemic: A case study of Beijing, China.Sustainable cities and society · 2023Article
26 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Our paper is among the first to measure the potential effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the tourism industry. Using panel structural vector auto-regression (PSVAR) (Pedroni, 2013) on data from 1995 to 2019 in 185 countries and system dynamic modeling (real-time data parameters connected to COVID-19), we estimate the impact of the pandemic crisis on the tourism industry worldwide. Past pandemic crises operated mostly through idiosyncratic shocks' channels, exposing domestic tourism sectors to large adverse shocks. Once domestic shocks perished (zero infection cases), inbound arrivals revived immediately. The COVID-19 pandemic, however, is different; and recovery of the tourism industry worldwide will take more time than the average expected recovery period of 10 months. Private and public policy support must be coordinated to assure capacity building and operational sustainability of the travel tourism sector during 2020-2021. COVID-19 proves that pandemic outbreaks have a much larger destructive impact on the travel and tourism industry than previous studies indicate. Tourism managers must carefully assess the effects of epidemics on business and develop new risk management methods to deal with the crisis. Furthermore, during 2020-2021, private and public policy support must be coordinated to sustain pre-COVID-19 operational levels of the tourism and travel sector.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.