Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35721307›Full record

ArticleNEJM evidence2022

Harm-to-Benefit of Three Decades of Prostate Cancer Screening in Black Men.

Spyridon P Basourakos, Roman Gulati, Randy A Vince, Daniel E Spratt, Patrick J Lewicki, Alexander Hill, Yaw A Nyame, Jennifer Cullen, Sarah C Markt, Christopher E Barbieri and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NEJM evidence, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Variation in PSA Levels by Age, Adiposity, Race and Ethnicity, and Genetic Risk: Implications for Prostate Cancer Screening.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Synthetic living materials in cancer biology.Nature reviews bioengineering · 2023
    Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Enhancing public awareness and practice of prostate cancer screening among African men: A scoping review.South African family practice : official journal of the South African Academy of Family Practice/Primary Care · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Spyridon P BasourakosDepartment of Urology, New York-Presbyterian Hospital, Weill Cornell Medical Center, New York.
Roman GulatiDivision of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle.
Randy A VinceDepartment of Urology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.
Daniel E SprattDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University Hospitals Seidman Cancer Center, Cleveland.
Patrick J LewickiDepartment of Urology, New York-Presbyterian Hospital, Weill Cornell Medical Center, New York.
Alexander HillDepartment of Urology, University Hospitals Cleveland Medical Center, Case Western Reserve University School of Medicine, Cleveland.
Yaw A NyameDepartment of Urology, University of Washington, Seattle.
Jennifer CullenCase Comprehensive Cancer Center, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland.
Sarah C MarktCase Comprehensive Cancer Center, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland.
Christopher E BarbieriDepartment of Urology, New York-Presbyterian Hospital, Weill Cornell Medical Center, New York.
Jim C HuDepartment of Urology, New York-Presbyterian Hospital, Weill Cornell Medical Center, New York.
Erika TraplCase Comprehensive Cancer Center, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland.
Jonathan E ShoagDepartment of Urology, New York-Presbyterian Hospital, Weill Cornell Medical Center, New York.

Funding

TRANSCRIPTOME AND PROTEOME STRATIFICATION OF PROSTATE ADENOCARCINOMA PHENOTYPESP50CA097186 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI PETER S NELSON · 2002 to 2026
$58.1M
Modeling Precision Interventions for Prostate Cancer ControlU01CA253915 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI ETZIONI, RUTH D, TSODIKOV, ALEXANDER · 2020 to 2025
$6.5M
Pelvic fascia spARing radical prostatectomy TrIAL (PARTIAL)R01CA259173 · NCI · WEILL MEDICAL COLL OF CORNELL UNIV · PI Mohamad Allaf, Jim Hu · 2022 to 2026
$3.1M
Statistical modeling to support population and translational cancer researchR50CA221836 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI Roman Gulati · 2017 to 2026
$2.0M
NCI NIH HHS P50 CA097186NCI NIH HHS R01 CA259173NCI NIH HHS R50 CA221836NCI NIH HHS U01 CA253915
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundProstate-specific antigen screening has profoundly affected the epidemiology of prostate cancer in the United States. Persistent racial disparities in outcomes for Black men warrant re-examination of the harms of screening relative to its cancer-specific mortality benefits in this population.

methodsWe estimated overdiagnoses and overtreatment of prostate cancer for men of all races and for Black men 50 to 84 years of age until 2016, the most recent year with treatment data available, using excess incidence relative to 1986 based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry and U.S. Census data as well as an established microsimulation model of prostate cancer natural history. Combining estimates with plausible mortality benefit, we calculated numbers needed to diagnose (NND) and treat (NNT) to prevent one prostate cancer death.

resultsFor men of all races, we estimated 1.5 to 1.9 million (range between estimation approaches) overdiagnosed and 0.9 to 1.5 million overtreated prostate cancers by 2016. Assuming that half of the 270,000 prostate cancer deaths avoided by 2016 were attributable to screening, the NND and the NNT would be 11 to 14 and 7 to 11 for men of all races and 8 to 12 and 5 to 9 for Black men, respectively. Alternative estimates incorporating a lag between incidence and mortality resulted in a NND and a NNT for Black men that reached well into the low single digits.

conclusionsComplementary approaches to quantifying overdiagnosis indicate a harm-benefit tradeoff of prostate-specific antigen screening that is more favorable for Black men than for men of all races considered together. Our findings highlight the need to account for the increased value of screening in Black men in clinical guidelines. (Funded by the Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute, the National Cancer Institute, the Bristol Myers Squibb Foundation, and the Damon Runyon Cancer Research Foundation.).

Identifiers

PMID35721307
PMCPMC9202998

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.