ArticleFrontiers in psychology2022
Successful Young Athletes Have Low Probability of Being Ranked Among the Best Senior Athletes, but This Is Higher When Compared to Their Less Successful Peers.
Article in Frontiers in psychology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed, 14 citations in OpenAlex.
- Sanda training for youth athletes: a comprehensive review of health benefits, injury prevention, and long-term development.Frontiers in sports and active living · 2026Review
- Relative Age Effect Is Widespread among Most Successful Youth, but Not in Senior Olympic Weightlifters.Journal of human kinetics · 2025Article
- Is There a Relative Age Effect among the Most Successful Track and Field Athletes?Journal of human kinetics · 2024Article
- Prospective and Retrospective Analysis of the Sporting Success of Elite Spanish High and Long Jumpers.Journal of human kinetics · 2024Article
- International selection and competition in youth sport: pin the tail on the donkey or targeted intervention?Frontiers in sports and active living · 2023Article
- Strategy in talent systems: Top-down and bottom-up approaches.Frontiers in sports and active living · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
9 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Background: Contemporary research has shown that only a small proportion of high achieving young athletes continue to become successful senior athletes. However, there is a lack of empirical literature tracking the success of senior male and female athletes who were considered high achieving as a youth. Hypothesis: Athletes of both sexes who are successful in youth categories (U18 and U20) are more likely to be successful senior athletes. Conclusion: Data from 67,600 athletes were collated from the tilastopaja.org platform. The inclusion criteria for both genders were determined by top-100 ranking in the U18 and U20 age groups and progression to the top-100 as a senior athlete. Only 23.5% of successful track and field athletes (ranked in top-100) at U18 became a successful senior athlete, while 35.4% were from the U20 group. Girls ranked in the top-100 U18 and U20 categories are significantly more likely to be ranked in the top-100 as a senior when compared to boys. Although, being ranked in the top-50 at U18 and U20 significantly increases the probability of becoming a successful senior athlete when compared with less successful athletes at these age groups (
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Registered trials
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