Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35717179›Full record

Observational studyBMC health services research2022

Modifiable prognostic factors of high costs related to healthcare utilization among older people seeking primary care due to back pain: an identification and replication study.

Rikke Munk Killingmo, Alessandro Chiarotto, Danielle A van der Windt, Kjersti Storheim, Sita M A Bierma-Zeinstra, Milada C Småstuen, Zinajda Zolic-Karlsson, Ørjan N Vigdal, Bart W Koes, Margreth Grotle

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMC health services research, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04261309 (BACk Pain in Elders in Norway), which is not on this map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
2.1field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04261309 completednot on this map

BACk Pain in Elders in Norway (BACE-N); A Prospective Cohort Study of Older People Visiting Primary Care With a New Episode of Back Pain

TypeobservationalSponsorOslo Metropolitan UniversityRan2017 to 2022Enrolled452ConditionsBack PainArmsUsual care
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 6 institutions in 4 countries.

Rikke Munk KillingmoDepartment of Physiotherapy, Oslo Metropolitan University, Oslo, Norway. rikke@oslomet.no.
Alessandro ChiarottoDepartment of General Practice, Erasmus MC, University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Danielle A van der WindtSchool of Medicine, Keele University, Keele, UK.
Kjersti StorheimDepartment of Physiotherapy, Oslo Metropolitan University, Oslo, Norway.
Sita M A Bierma-ZeinstraDepartment of General Practice, Erasmus MC, University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Milada C SmåstuenDepartment of Physiotherapy, Oslo Metropolitan University, Oslo, Norway.
Zinajda Zolic-KarlssonHTA and Reimbursement at Norwegian Medicines Agency, Oslo, Norway.
Ørjan N VigdalDepartment of Physiotherapy, Oslo Metropolitan University, Oslo, Norway.
Bart W KoesDepartment of General Practice, Erasmus MC, University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Margreth GrotleDepartment of Physiotherapy, Oslo Metropolitan University, Oslo, Norway.
Erasmus MC · NLOsloMet – Oslo Metropolitan University · NOErasmus University Rotterdam · NLKeele University · GBNorwegian Medicines Agency · NOOslo University Hospital · NO

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBack pain is an extensive burden to our healthcare system, yet few studies have explored modifiable prognostic factors associated with high costs related to healthcare utilization, especially among older back pain patients. The aims of this study were to identify modifiable prognostic factors for high costs related to healthcare utilization among older people seeking primary care with a new episode of back pain; and to replicate the identified associations in a similar cohort, in a different country.

methodsData from two cohort studies within the BACE consortium were used, including 452 and 675 people aged ≥55 years seeking primary care with a new episode of back pain. High costs were defined as costs in the top 25th percentile. Healthcare utilization was self-reported, aggregated for one-year of follow-up and included: primary care consultations, medications, examinations, hospitalization, rehabilitation stay and operations. Costs were estimated based on unit costs collected from national pricelists. Nine potential modifiable prognostic factors were selected based on previous literature. Univariable and multivariable binary logistic regression models were used to identify and replicate associations (crude and adjusted for selected covariates) between each modifiable prognostic factor and high costs related to healthcare utilization.

resultsFour modifiable prognostic factors associated with high costs related to healthcare utilization were identified and replicated: a higher degree of pain severity, disability, depression, and a lower degree of physical health-related quality of life. Kinesiophobia and recovery expectations showed no prognostic value. There were inconsistent results across the two cohorts with regards to comorbidity, radiating pain below the knee and mental health-related quality of life.

conclusionThe factors identified in this study may be future targets for intervention with the potential to reduce high costs related to healthcare utilization among older back pain patients.

trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov NCT04261309, 07 February 2020. Retrospectively registered.

Indexed as

Back PainQuality of LifeAgedHumansMiddle AgedPatient Acceptance of Health CarePrimary Health CarePrognosisBack painCostsHealthcare utilizationPrognostic factor research

Identifiers

PMID35717179
PMCPMC9206382
OpenAlexW4283079663

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.