Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35715856›Full record

Trial reportBMC oral health2022

A prediction model for xerostomia in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients receiving radical radiotherapy.

Minying Li, Jingjing Zhang, Yawen Zha, Yani Li, Bingshuang Hu, Siming Zheng, Jiaxiong Zhou

Abstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in BMC oral health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Minying LiDepartment of Oncology Radiotherapy, Zhongshan City People's Hospital, No.2 Sunwen Middle Road, Shiqi District, Zhongshan City, 528403, Guangdong, China. li13928197276@outlook.com.
Jingjing ZhangDepartment of Oncology Radiotherapy, Zhongshan City People's Hospital, No.2 Sunwen Middle Road, Shiqi District, Zhongshan City, 528403, Guangdong, China.
Yawen ZhaDepartment of Oncology Radiotherapy, Zhongshan City People's Hospital, No.2 Sunwen Middle Road, Shiqi District, Zhongshan City, 528403, Guangdong, China.
Yani LiDepartment of Oncology Radiotherapy, Zhongshan City People's Hospital, No.2 Sunwen Middle Road, Shiqi District, Zhongshan City, 528403, Guangdong, China.
Bingshuang HuDepartment of Oncology Radiotherapy, Zhongshan City People's Hospital, No.2 Sunwen Middle Road, Shiqi District, Zhongshan City, 528403, Guangdong, China.
Siming ZhengDepartment of Oncology Radiotherapy, Zhongshan City People's Hospital, No.2 Sunwen Middle Road, Shiqi District, Zhongshan City, 528403, Guangdong, China.
Jiaxiong ZhouDepartment of Oncology Radiotherapy, Zhongshan City People's Hospital, No.2 Sunwen Middle Road, Shiqi District, Zhongshan City, 528403, Guangdong, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThis study was to evaluate the predictors of xerostomia and Grade 3 xerostomia in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients receiving radical radiotherapy and establish prediction models for xerostomia and Grade 3 xerostomia based on the predictors.

methodsTotally, 365 patients with locoregionally advanced NPC who underwent radical radiotherapy were randomly divided into the training set (n = 255) and the testing set (n = 110) at a ratio of 7:3. All variables were included in the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression to screen out the potential predictors for xerostomia as well as the Grade 3 xerostomia in locoregionally advanced NPC patients receiving radical radiotherapy. The random forest (RF), a decision tree classifier (DTC), and extreme-gradient boosting (XGB) models were constructed. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), area under the curve (AUC) and accuracy were analyzed to evaluate the predictive performance of the models.

resultsIn the RF model for predicting xerostomia, the sensitivity was 1.000 (95%CI 1.000-1.000), the PPV was 0.990 (95%CI 0.975-1.000), the NPV was 1.000 (95%CI 1.000-1.000), the AUC was 0.999 (95%CI 0.997-1.000) and the accuracy was 0.992 (95%CI 0.981-1.000) in the training set. The sensitivity was 0.933 (95%CI 0.880-0.985), the PPV was 0.933 (95%CI 0.880-0.985), and the AUC was 0.915 (95%CI 0.860-0.970) in the testing set. Hypertension, age, total radiotherapy dose, dose at 50% of the left parotid volume, mean dose to right parotid gland, mean dose to oral cavity, and course of induction chemotherapy were important variables associated with the risk of xerostomia in locoregionally advanced NPC patients receiving radical radiotherapy. The AUC of DTC model for predicting xerostomia was 0.769 (95%CI 0.666-0.872) in the testing set. The AUC of the XGB model for predicting xerostomia was 0.834 (0.753-0.916) in the testing set. The RF model showed the good predictive ability with the AUC of 0.986 (95%CI 0.972-1.000) in the training set, and 0.766 (95%CI 0.626-0.905) in the testing set for identifying patients who at high risk of Grade 3 xerostomia in those with high risk of xerostomia.

conclusionsAn RF model for predicting xerostomia in locoregionally advanced NPC patients receiving radical radiotherapy and an RF model for predicting Grade 3 xerostomia in those with high risk of xerostomia showed good predictive ability.

Indexed as

Nasopharyngeal NeoplasmsRadiotherapy, Intensity-ModulatedXerostomiaHumansNasopharyngeal CarcinomaParotid GlandPredictive Value of TestsNasopharyngeal carcinomaPredictionXerostomia

Identifiers

PMID35715856
PMCPMC9206362

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.