ArticleBMC surgery2022
Preoperative and postoperative nomograms for predicting early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma without macrovascular invasion after curative resection.
Article in BMC surgery, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
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Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed, 7 citations in OpenAlex.
- Novel postoperative nomograms for predicting individual prognoses of hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma with cirrhosis.BMC surgery · 2022Trial
- Risk Factors for Recurrence in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Curative Resection or Ablation.Journal of hepatocellular carcinoma · 2025Review
- Management of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after liver surgery and thermal ablations: state of the art and future perspectives.Hepatobiliary surgery and nutrition · 2024Review
- Macroscopic Characterization of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: An Underexploited Source of Prognostic Factors.Journal of hepatocellular carcinoma · 2024Review
- Construction of a 2.5D Deep Learning Model for Predicting Early Postoperative Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Using Multi-View and Multi-Phase CT Images.Journal of hepatocellular carcinoma · 2024Article
- Development and validation of a survival prediction model for 113,239 patients with colon cancer: a retrospective cohort study.Journal of gastrointestinal oncology · 2022Article
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Authors and funding
6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundPostoperative early recurrence (ER) is a major obstacle to long-term survival after curative liver resection (LR) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to establish preoperative and postoperative nomograms to predict ER in HCC without macrovascular invasion.
methodsPatients who underwent curative LR for HCC between January 2012 and December 2016 were divided into training and internal prospective validation cohorts. Nomograms were constructed based on independent risk factors derived from the multivariate logistic regression analyses in the training cohort. The predictive performances of the nomograms were validated using the internal prospective validation cohort.
resultsIn total, 698 patients fulfilled the eligibility criteria. Among them, 265 of 482 patients (55.0%) in the training cohort and 120 of 216 (55.6%) patients in the validation cohort developed ER. The preoperative risk factors associated with ER were age, alpha-fetoprotein, tumor diameter, and tumor number, and the postoperative risk factors associated with ER were age, tumor diameter, tumor number, microvascular invasion, and differentiation. The pre- and postoperative nomograms based on these factors showed good accuracy, with concordance indices of 0.712 and 0.850 in the training cohort, respectively, and 0.754 and 0.857 in the validation cohort, respectively. The calibration curves showed optimal agreement between the predictions by the nomograms and actual observations. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves of the pre- and postoperative nomograms were 0.721 and 0.848 in the training cohort, respectively, and 0.754 and 0.844 in the validation cohort, respectively.
conclusionsThe nomograms constructed in this study showed good performance in predicting ER for HCC without macrovascular invasion before and after surgery. These nomograms would be helpful for doctors when determining treatments and selecting patients for regular surveillance or administration of adjuvant therapies.
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