Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35713632›Full record

ArticleClinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research2022

Circulating Tumor DNA Kinetics Predict Progression-Free and Overall Survival in EGFR TKI-Treated Patients with EGFR-Mutant NSCLC (SWOG S1403).

Philip C Mack, Jieling Miao, Mary W Redman, James Moon, Sarah B Goldberg, Roy S Herbst, Mary Ann Melnick, Zenta Walther, Fred R Hirsch, Katerina Politi and 2 more

2 registry-linked trialsAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 48 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
48citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06167460 recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2023, after this paper: background citation

Analysis of Circulating Tumor DNA Dynamics to Predict and Monitor Response to Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitors in Patients With Advanced Non-small Cell Lung Cancer

TypeobservationalSponsorGene SolutionsRan2023 to 2025Enrolled50ConditionsNon Small Cell Lung Cancer, Stage IIIB Non-small Cell Lung Cancer, Stage IIIC Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer, Stage IV Non-small Cell Lung Cancer
NCT07057102 recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Applications of Multiple Omics Sequencing Technologies in Predicting the Efficacy and Monitoring the Recurrence of Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: A Prospective, Non-Interventional Study

Typeobservational_patient_registrySponsorCancer Institute and Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical SciencesRan2025 to 2027Enrolled40ConditionsNon Small Cell Lung Cancer
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

48 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. First-in-Human Phase I/IIa Study of the First-in-Class CDK2/4/6 Inhibitor PF-06873600 Alone or with Endocrine Therapy in Patients with Breast Cancer.Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research · 2025
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  18. Role of radiotherapy in the treatment ofTherapeutic advances in medical oncology · 2026
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  20. FDA-AACR Strategies for Optimizing Dosages for Oncology Drug Products: Early-Phase Trials Using Innovative Trial Designs and Biomarkers.Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Philip C MackCenter for Thoracic Oncology, The Tisch Cancer Institute, Mount Sinai Health System, New York, New York.ORCID 0000-0003-4750-3812
Jieling MiaoSWOG Statistics and Data Management Center, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington.
Mary W RedmanSWOG Statistics and Data Management Center, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington.
James MoonSWOG Statistics and Data Management Center, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington.
Sarah B GoldbergDepartment of Internal Medicine (Section of Medical Oncology), Yale School of Medicine and Yale Cancer Center, New Haven, Connecticut.
Roy S HerbstDepartment of Internal Medicine (Section of Medical Oncology), Yale School of Medicine and Yale Cancer Center, New Haven, Connecticut.
Mary Ann MelnickDepartment of Internal Medicine (Section of Medical Oncology), Yale School of Medicine and Yale Cancer Center, New Haven, Connecticut.
Zenta WaltherDepartment of Pathology, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut.
Fred R HirschCenter for Thoracic Oncology, The Tisch Cancer Institute, Mount Sinai Health System, New York, New York.
Katerina PolitiDepartment of Pathology, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut.
Karen KellyDivision of Hematology/Oncology, University of California at Davis, Sacramento, California.ORCID 0000-0002-2235-6636
David R GandaraDivision of Hematology/Oncology, University of California at Davis, Sacramento, California.

Funding

SWOG Network Group Operations Center of the NCTNU10CA180888 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA AT DAVIS · PI PRIMO N. LARA · 2014 to 2026
$152.1M
SWOG Statistics & Data Management Center complex - extension supplement for GY06U10CA180819 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI Michael L. LeBlanc · 2014 to 2026
$115.2M
Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Staff InvestigatorsP30CA093373 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA DAVIS · PI Laura Marcu · 2002 to 2026
$84.9M
UCDCCC NCTN UG1 PROGRAMUG1CA233340 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA AT DAVIS · PI GANDARA, DAVID R, VALICENTI, RICHARD · 2019 to 2025
$3.7M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NCI NIH HHS P30 CA093373NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180819NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180888NCI NIH HHS UG1 CA233340
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeDynamic changes in circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) are under investigation as an early indicator of treatment outcome. EXPERIMENTAL

designSerial plasma ctDNA (baseline, 8 weeks, and at progression) was prospectively incorporated into the SWOG S1403 clinical trial of afatinib ± cetuximab in tyrosine kinase inhibitor-naïve, EGFR mutation tissue-positive non-small cell lung cancer.

resultsEGFR mutations were detected in baseline ctDNA in 77% (82/106) of patients, associated with the presence of brain and/or liver metastases and M1B stage. Complete clearance of EGFR mutations in ctDNA by 8 weeks was associated with a significantly decreased risk of progression, compared with those with persistent ctDNA at Cycle 3 Day 1 [HR, 0.23; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.12-0.45; P < 0.0001], with a median progression-free survival (PFS) of 15.1 (95% CI, 10.6-17.5) months in the group with clearance of ctDNA versus 4.6 (1.7-7.5) months in the group with persistent ctDNA. Clearance was also associated with a decreased risk of death (HR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.21-0.90), P = 0.02; median overall survival (OS): 32.6 (23.5-not estimable) versus 15.6 (4.9-28.3) months.

conclusionsPlasma clearance of mutant EGFR ctDNA at 8 weeks was highly and significantly predictive of PFS and OS, outperforming RECIST response for predicting long-term benefit.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell LungCirculating Tumor DNALung NeoplasmsDisease-Free SurvivalErbB ReceptorsHumansMutationProtein Kinase InhibitorsCirculating Tumor DNAEGFR protein, humanErbB ReceptorsProtein Kinase Inhibitors

Identifiers

PMID35713632
PMCPMC9444942

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.