Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35712289›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in public health2022

Development and Validation of Multi-Stage Prediction Models for Pre-eclampsia: A Retrospective Cohort Study on Chinese Women.

Zeyu Tang, Yuelong Ji, Shuang Zhou, Tao Su, Zhichao Yuan, Na Han, Jinzhu Jia, Haijun Wang

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in public health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.2field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Zeyu TangDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Yuelong JiDepartment of Maternal and Child Health, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Shuang ZhouDepartment of Maternal and Child Health, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Tao SuMaternal and Child Health Care Hospital of Tongzhou District, Beijing, China.
Zhichao YuanDepartment of Maternal and Child Health, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Na HanMaternal and Child Health Care Hospital of Tongzhou District, Beijing, China.
Jinzhu JiaDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Haijun WangDepartment of Maternal and Child Health, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Peking University · CNChongqing Maternal and Child Health Hospital · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: The aim of this study is to develop multistage prediction models for pre-eclampsia (PE) covering almost the entire pregnancy period based on routine antenatal measurements and to propose a risk screening strategy. Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study that included 20582 singleton pregnant women with the last menstruation between January 1, 2013 and December 31, 2019. Of the 20582 women, 717 (3.48%) developed pre-eclampsia, including 46 (0.22%) with early-onset pre-eclampsia and 119 (0.58%) preterm pre-eclampsia. We randomly divided the dataset into the training set ( Results: We found that uric acid tested from 5-10 weeks of gestation, platelets tested at 18-23 and 24-31 weeks of gestation, and alkaline phosphatase tested at 28-31, 32-35 and 36-39 weeks of gestation can further improve the prediction performance of models. The AUROC of the optimal prediction models on the test set gradually increased from 0.71 at 5-10 weeks to 0.80 at 24-27 weeks, and then gradually increased to 0.95 at 36-39 weeks of gestation. At sensitivity level of 0.98, our screening strategy can identify about 94.8% of women who will develop pre-eclampsia and reduce about 40% of the healthy women to be screened by 28-31 weeks of pregnancy. Conclusion: We developed multistage prediction models and a risk screening strategy, biomarkers of which were part of routine test items and did not need extra costs. The prediction window has been advanced to 5-10 weeks, which has allowed time for aspirin intervention and other means for PE high-risk groups.

Indexed as

Pre-EclampsiaChinaFemaleHumansInfant, NewbornPregnancyRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentROC CurveLASSOlogistic regressionmulti-stage prediction modelpre-eclampsiapregnancyscreening strategy

Identifiers

PMID35712289
PMCPMC9195617
OpenAlexW4281820544

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.