Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35709213›Full record

ArticlePloS one2022

Imaging-based indices combining disease severity and time from disease onset to predict COVID-19 mortality: A cohort study.

Giulia Besutti, Olivera Djuric, Marta Ottone, Filippo Monelli, Patrizia Lazzari, Francesco Ascari, Guido Ligabue, Giovanni Guaraldi, Giuseppe Pezzuto, Petra Bechtold and 6 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.6field-weighted citation impact, top 35% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Giulia BesuttiRadiology Department, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-5319-5495
Olivera DjuricEpidemiology Unit, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy.
Marta OttoneEpidemiology Unit, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy.
Filippo MonelliRadiology Department, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-9184-306X
Patrizia LazzariDepartment of Radiology, AOU Policlinico di Modena, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-1426-2688
Francesco AscariDepartment of Radiology, AOU Policlinico di Modena, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy.
Guido LigabueDepartment of Radiology, AOU Policlinico di Modena, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy.
Giovanni GuaraldiDepartment of Infectious Diseases, AOU Policlinico di Modena, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy.
Giuseppe PezzutoEmergency Department, AOU Policlinico di Modena, Modena, Italy.
Petra BechtoldEpidemiology and Risk Communication Unit, Department of Public Health, Local Health Unit, Modena, Italy.
Marco MassariInfectious Disease Unit, Arcispedale Santa Maria Nuova, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy.
Ivana LattuadaEmergency Department, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy.
Francesco LuppiEmergency Department, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy.
Maria Giulia GalliEmergency Department, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy.
Pierpaolo PattaciniRadiology Department, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy.
Paolo Giorgi RossiEpidemiology Unit, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy.
Azienda Sanitaria Unità Locale di Reggio Emilia · ITUniversity of Modena and Reggio Emilia · ITAzienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria di Modena · ITOspedale Santa Maria · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCOVID-19 prognostic factors include age, sex, comorbidities, laboratory and imaging findings, and time from symptom onset to seeking care. PURPOSE: The study aim was to evaluate indices combining disease severity measures and time from disease onset to predict mortality of COVID-19 patients admitted to the emergency department (ED). MATERIALS AND

methodsAll consecutive COVID-19 patients who underwent both computed tomography (CT) and chest X-ray (CXR) at ED presentation between 27/02/2020 and 13/03/2020 were included. CT visual score of disease extension and CXR Radiographic Assessment of Lung Edema (RALE) score were collected. The CT- and CXR-based scores, C-reactive protein (CRP), and oxygen saturation levels (sO2) were separately combined with time from symptom onset to ED presentation to obtain severity/time indices. Multivariable regression age- and sex-adjusted models without and with severity/time indices were compared. For CXR-RALE, the models were tested in a validation cohort.

resultsOf the 308 included patients, 55 (17.9%) died. In multivariable logistic age- and sex-adjusted models for death at 30 days, severity/time indices showed good discrimination ability, higher for imaging than for laboratory measures (AUCCT = 0.92, AUCCXR = 0.90, AUCCRP = 0.88, AUCsO2 = 0.88). AUCCXR was lower in the validation cohort (0.79). The models including severity/time indices performed slightly better than models including measures of disease severity not combined with time and those including the Charlson Comorbidity Index, except for CRP-based models.

conclusionTime from symptom onset to ED admission is a strong prognostic factor and provides added value to the interpretation of imaging and laboratory findings at ED presentation.

Indexed as

COVID-19Cohort StudiesHumansPrognosisRadiography, ThoracicRespiratory SoundsRetrospective StudiesSARS-CoV-2Severity of Illness Index

Identifiers

PMID35709213
PMCPMC9202871
OpenAlexW4282982084

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.