Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35706500›Full record

ArticleEClinicalMedicine2022

Development and validation of an interpretable prehospital return of spontaneous circulation (P-ROSC) score for patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest using machine learning: A retrospective study.

Nan Liu, Mingxuan Liu, Xinru Chen, Yilin Ning, Jin Wee Lee, Fahad Javaid Siddiqui, Seyed Ehsan Saffari, Andrew Fu Wah Ho, Sang Do Shin, Matthew Huei-Ming Ma and 3 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EClinicalMedicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
11.3field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 47 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 5 institutions in 4 countries.

Nan LiuDuke-NUS Medical School, National University of Singapore, 8 College Road, Singapore 169857, Singapore.
Mingxuan LiuDuke-NUS Medical School, National University of Singapore, 8 College Road, Singapore 169857, Singapore.
Xinru ChenDuke-NUS Medical School, National University of Singapore, 8 College Road, Singapore 169857, Singapore.
Yilin NingDuke-NUS Medical School, National University of Singapore, 8 College Road, Singapore 169857, Singapore.
Jin Wee LeeDuke-NUS Medical School, National University of Singapore, 8 College Road, Singapore 169857, Singapore.
Fahad Javaid SiddiquiDuke-NUS Medical School, National University of Singapore, 8 College Road, Singapore 169857, Singapore.
Seyed Ehsan SaffariDuke-NUS Medical School, National University of Singapore, 8 College Road, Singapore 169857, Singapore.
Andrew Fu Wah HoDuke-NUS Medical School, National University of Singapore, 8 College Road, Singapore 169857, Singapore.
Sang Do ShinDepartment of Emergency Medicine, School of Medicine, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Matthew Huei-Ming MaDepartment of Emergency Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.
Hideharu TanakaGraduate School of Emergency Medical System, Kokushikan University, Tokyo, Japan.
Marcus Eng Hock OngDuke-NUS Medical School, National University of Singapore, 8 College Road, Singapore 169857, Singapore.
PAROS Clinical Research Network Investigators
National University of Singapore · SGSingHealth · SGKokushikan University · JPNational Taiwan University Hospital · TWSeoul National University · KR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) before arrival at the emergency department is an early indicator of successful resuscitation in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). Several ROSC prediction scores have been developed with European cohorts, with unclear applicability in Asian settings. We aimed to develop an interpretable prehospital ROSC (P-ROSC) score for ROSC prediction based on patients with OHCA in Asia. Methods: This retrospective study examined patients who suffered from OHCA between Jan 1, 2009 and Jun 17, 2018 using data recorded in the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study (PAROS) registry. AutoScore, an interpretable machine learning framework, was used to develop P-ROSC. On the same cohort, the P-ROSC was compared with two clinical scores, the RACA and the UB-ROSC. The predictive power was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) in the receiver operating characteristic analysis. Findings: 170,678 cases were included, of which 14,104 (8.26%) attained prehospital ROSC. The P-ROSC score identified a new variable, prehospital drug administration, which was not included in the RACA score or the UB-ROSC score. Using only five variables, the P-ROSC score achieved an AUC of 0.806 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.799-0.814), outperforming both RACA and UB-ROSC with AUCs of 0.773 (95% CI 0.765-0.782) and 0.728 (95% CI 0.718-0.738), respectively. Interpretation: The P-ROSC score is a practical and easily interpreted tool for predicting the probability of prehospital ROSC. Funding: This research received funding from SingHealth Duke-NUS ACP Programme Funding (15/FY2020/P2/06-A79).

Indexed as

Interpretable machine learningOut-of-hospital cardiac arrestReturn of spontaneous circulationScore

Identifiers

PMID35706500
PMCPMC9096672
OpenAlexW4229064918

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.