Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35705333›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2022

Incidence of acute lower respiratory tract disease hospitalisations, including pneumonia, among adults in Bristol, UK, 2019, estimated using both a prospective and retrospective methodology.

Catherine Hyams, Elizabeth Begier, Maria Garcia Gonzalez, Jo Southern, James Campling, Sharon Gray, Jennifer Oliver, Bradford D Gessner, Adam Finn

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
8.3field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 49 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Catherine HyamsAcademic Respiratory Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK catherine.hyams@bristol.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0003-3923-1773
Elizabeth BegierGlobal Medical and Scientific Affairs, Pfizer Inc, New York City, New York, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1287-5416
Maria Garcia GonzalezPopulation Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Jo SouthernVaccines Medical Affairs, Pfizer Ltd, Tadworth, Surrey, UK.
James CamplingVaccines Medical Affairs, Pfizer Ltd, Tadworth, Surrey, UK.
Sharon GrayGlobal Medical and Scientific Affairs, Pfizer Inc, New York City, New York, USA.
Jennifer OliverBristol Vaccine Centre, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Bradford D GessnerVaccines Medical Development, Scientific and Clinical Affairs, Pfizer Inc, Collegeville, Pennsylvania, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6216-7194
Adam FinnBristol Vaccine Centre, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Pfizer (United States) · USUniversity of Bristol · GBPfizer (United Kingdom) · GBSouthmead Hospital · GB

Funding

Department of Health
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo determine the disease burden of acute lower respiratory tract disease (aLRTD) and its subsets (pneumonia, lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) and heart failure) in hospitalised adults in Bristol, UK.

settingSingle-centre, secondary care hospital, Bristol, UK.

designWe estimated aLRTD hospitalisations incidence in adults (≥18 years) in Bristol, UK, using two approaches. First, retrospective International Classification of Diseases 10th revision (ICD-10) code analysis (first five positions/hospitalisation) identified aLRTD events over a 12-month period (March 2018 to February 2019). Second, during a 21-day prospective review (19 August 2019 to 9 September 2019), aLRTD admissions were identified, categorised by diagnosis and subsequently annualised. Hospital catchment denominators were calculated using linked general practice and hospitalisation data, with each practice's denominator contribution calculated based on practice population and per cent of the practices' hospitalisations admitted to the study hospital.

participantsProspective review: 1322 adults screened; 410 identified with aLRTD. Retrospective review: 7727 adult admissions. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The incidence of aLRTD and its subsets in the adult population of Southmead Hospital, Bristol UK.

resultsBased on ICD-10 code analysis, annual incidences per 100 000 population were: aLRTD, 1901; pneumonia, 591; LRTI, 739; heart failure, 402. aLRTD incidence was highest among those ≥65 years: 65-74 (3684 per 100 000 adults), 75-84 (6962 per 100 000 adults) and ≥85 (11 430 per 100 000 adults). During the prospective review, 410/1322 (31%) hospitalised adults had aLRTD signs/symptoms and annualised incidences closely replicated retrospective analysis results.

conclusionsThe aLRTD disease burden was high, increasing sharply with age. The aLRTD incidence is probably higher than estimated previously due to criteria specifying respiratory-specific symptoms or radiological change, usage of only the first diagnosis code and mismatch between case count sources and population denominators. This may have significant consequences for healthcare planning, including usage of current and future vaccinations against respiratory infection.

Indexed as

Heart FailurePneumoniaRespiration DisordersRespiratory Tract InfectionsAdultHospitalizationHumansIncidenceProspective StudiesRetrospective StudiesUnited Kingdomepidemiologyheart failurerespiratory infections

Identifiers

PMID35705333
PMCPMC9204403
OpenAlexW4282965672

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.