Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35701406›Full record

ArticleNature communications2022

Abruptly attenuated carbon sequestration with Weddell Sea dense waters by 2100.

Cara Nissen, Ralph Timmermann, Mario Hoppema, Özgür Gürses, Judith Hauck

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
4.4field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 40 citations in OpenAlex.

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  10. Carbon storage shifts around Antarctica.Nature communications · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Cara NissenAlfred Wegener Institut, Helmholtz Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung, Bremerhaven, Germany. cara.nissen@awi.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5804-3191
Ralph TimmermannAlfred Wegener Institut, Helmholtz Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung, Bremerhaven, Germany.
Mario HoppemaAlfred Wegener Institut, Helmholtz Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung, Bremerhaven, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2326-619X
Özgür GürsesAlfred Wegener Institut, Helmholtz Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung, Bremerhaven, Germany.
Judith HauckAlfred Wegener Institut, Helmholtz Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung, Bremerhaven, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4723-9652
Alfred-Wegener-Institut Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung · DE

Funding

EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020) 820989
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Antarctic Bottom Water formation, such as in the Weddell Sea, is an efficient vector for carbon sequestration on time scales of centuries. Possible changes in carbon sequestration under changing environmental conditions are unquantified to date, mainly due to difficulties in simulating the relevant processes on high-latitude continental shelves. Here, we use a model setup including both ice-shelf cavities and oceanic carbon cycling and demonstrate that by 2100, deep-ocean carbon accumulation in the southern Weddell Sea is abruptly attenuated to only 40% of the 1990s rate in a high-emission scenario, while the rate in the 2050s and 2080s is still 2.5-fold and 4-fold higher, respectively, than in the 1990s. Assessing deep-ocean carbon budgets and water mass transformations, we attribute this decline to an increased presence of modified Warm Deep Water on the southern Weddell Sea continental shelf, a 16% reduction in sea-ice formation, and a 79% increase in ice-shelf basal melt. Altogether, these changes lower the density and volume of newly formed bottom waters and reduce the associated carbon transport to the abyss.

Identifiers

PMID35701406
PMCPMC9198026
OpenAlexW4282824145

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.