Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35700999›Full record

ArticleTobacco control2023

Public health impact of a US menthol cigarette ban on the non-Hispanic black population: a simulation study.

Mona Issabakhsh, Rafael Meza, Yameng Li, Zhe Yuan, Luz Maria Sanchez-Romero, David T Levy

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Tobacco control, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. The Impact of Menthol Cigarette Bans: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2025
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Evidence-Based Post-Ban Research to Inform Effective Menthol Cigarette Bans in the United States and Other Jurisdictions.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2024
    Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. An Analysis of Twitter Posts About the U.S. Food and Drug Administration's Menthol Ban.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2023
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Mortality Relative Risks by Smoking, Race/Ethnicity, and Education.American journal of preventive medicine · 2023
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Mona IssabakhshLombardi Comprehensive Cancer Center, Georgetown University, Washington, DC, USA.
Rafael MezaDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1076-5037
Yameng LiLombardi Comprehensive Cancer Center, Georgetown University, Washington, DC, USA.
Zhe YuanLombardi Comprehensive Cancer Center, Georgetown University, Washington, DC, USA.
Luz Maria Sanchez-RomeroLombardi Comprehensive Cancer Center, Georgetown University, Washington, DC, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7951-3965
David T LevyLombardi Comprehensive Cancer Center, Georgetown University, Washington, DC, USA dl777@georgetown.edu.ORCID 0000-0001-5280-3612

Funding

Research Project 3: Modeling the Impact of Tobacco Control Policies on Polytobacco Use and Associated Health DisparitiesU54CA229974 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI David Mendez Emilien · 2018 to 2026
$39.2M
NCI NIH HHS U54 CA229974
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionWith the US Food and Drug Administration recently proposing to implement a ban on menthol cigarettes, it is critical to estimate the potential public health effects of such a ban. With high rates of menthol cigarette use and important smoking-related health disparity implications, the impact of the ban on the non-Hispanic black (NHB) population merits strong consideration.

methodsWe apply the previously developed Menthol Smoking and Vaping Model to the NHB population. A status quo scenario is developed using NHB-specific population, smoking and vaping initiation, cessation and death rates. Estimates from a recent expert elicitation on behavioural impacts of a menthol cigarette ban on the NHB population are used to develop a menthol ban scenario implemented in 2021. The public health impacts of the menthol ban are estimated as the difference between smoking and vaping attributable deaths (SVADs) and life years lost (LYLs) in the status quo and the menthol ban scenarios from 2021 to 2060.

resultsUnder the menthol ban scenario, overall smoking is projected to decline by 35.7% in 2026 and by 25.3% in 2060 relative to the status quo scenario. With these reductions, SVADs are estimated to fall by about 18.5% and LYLs by 22.1%, translating to 255 895 premature deaths averted, and 4.0 million life years gained over a 40-year period.

conclusionsA menthol cigarette ban will substantially reduce the smoking-associated health impact on the NHB population, thereby reducing health disparities.

Indexed as

Smoking CessationTobacco ProductsHumansMentholPublic HealthSmokingMentholAdvocacyPreventionPriority/special populationsPublic policy

Identifiers

PMID35700999
PMCPMC10803953

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.