Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35700022›Full record

ArticleJMIR public health and surveillance2022

The Distribution of HIV and AIDS Cases in Luzhou, China, From 2011 to 2020: Bayesian Spatiotemporal Analysis.

Ningjun Ren, Yuansheng Li, Ruolan Wang, Wenxin Zhang, Run Chen, Ticheng Xiao, Hang Chen, Ailing Li, Song Fan

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JMIR public health and surveillance, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
2.5field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 27 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Ningjun Ren *School of Public Health, Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0003-3339-0511
Yuansheng Li *School of Public Health, Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0002-1174-3374
Ruolan Wang *School of Public Health, Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0002-3948-4220
Wenxin ZhangSchool of Public Health, Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0001-8249-382X
Run ChenSchool of Public Health, Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0003-3465-5841
Ticheng XiaoDepartment of HIV/AIDS Control and Prevention, Luzhou Center For Disease Control and Prevention, Luzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0001-7172-3634
Hang ChenDepartment of HIV/AIDS Control and Prevention, Luzhou Center For Disease Control and Prevention, Luzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0001-7634-0202
Ailing LiSchool of Public Health, Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0001-9650-8236
Song FanSchool of Public Health, Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0002-2228-5401
Southwest Medical University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe vastly increasing number of reported HIV and AIDS cases in Luzhou, China, in recent years, coupled with the city's unique geographical location at the intersection of 4 provinces, makes it particularly important to conduct a spatiotemporal analysis of HIV and AIDS cases.

objectiveThe aim of this study is to understand the spatiotemporal distribution of HIV and the factors influencing this distribution in Luzhou, China, from 2011 to 2020.

methodsData on the incidence of HIV and AIDS in Luzhou from 2011 to 2020 were obtained from the AIDS Information Management System of the Luzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention. ArcGIS was used to visualize the spatiotemporal distribution of HIV and AIDS cases. The Bayesian spatiotemporal model was used to investigate factors affecting the spatiotemporal distribution of HIV and AIDS, including the gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, urbanization rate, number of hospital beds, population density, and road mileage.

resultsThe reported incidence of HIV and AIDS rose from 8.50 cases per 100,000 population in 2011 to 49.25 cases per 100,000 population in 2020-an increase of 578.87%. In the first 5 years, hotspots were concentrated in Jiangyang district, Longmatan district, and Luxian county. After 2016, Luzhou's high HIV incidence areas gradually shifted eastward, with Hejiang county having the highest average prevalence rate (41.68 cases per 100,000 population) from 2011 to 2020, being 2.28 times higher than that in Gulin county (18.30 cases per 100,000), where cold spots were concentrated. The risk for the incidence of HIV and AIDS was associated with the urbanization rate, population density, and GDP per capita. For every 1% increase in the urbanization rate, the relative risk (RR) increases by 1.3%, while an increase of 100 people per square kilometer would increase the RR by 8.7%; for every 1000 Yuan (US $148.12) increase in GDP per capita, the RR decreases by 1.5%.

conclusionsIn Luzhou, current HIV and AIDS prevention and control efforts must be focused on the location of each district or county government; we suggest the region balance urban development and HIV and AIDS prevention. Moreover, more attention should be paid to economically disadvantaged areas.

Indexed as

Acquired Immunodeficiency SyndromeBayes TheoremChinaHumansIncidenceSpatio-Temporal AnalysisBayesian modelHIV and AIDSreported incidencespatio-temporal distribution

Identifiers

PMID35700022
PMCPMC9240955
OpenAlexW4282837111

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.