Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35696578›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2022

Universal healthcare as pandemic preparedness: The lives and costs that could have been saved during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Alison P Galvani, Alyssa S Parpia, Abhishek Pandey, Pratha Sah, Kenneth Colón, Gerald Friedman, Travis Campbell, James G Kahn, Burton H Singer, Meagan C Fitzpatrick

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed
17.8field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 65 citations in OpenAlex.

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  9. Mortality and morbidity ramifications of proposed retractions in healthcare coverage for the United States.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
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  12. Improving Pathways to Care for Ethnic Minority Communities.Advances in experimental medicine and biology · 2024
    Review
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  18. Relative pandemic severity in Canada and four peer nations during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada · 2023
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Alison P GalvaniCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06510.
Alyssa S ParpiaCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06510.ORCID 0000-0002-9083-1929
Abhishek PandeyCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06510.
Pratha SahCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06510.ORCID 0000-0001-8936-5871
Kenneth ColónCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06510.
Gerald FriedmanDepartment of Economics, College of Social and Behavioral Sciences, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Amherst, MA 01002.
Travis CampbellDepartment of Economics, College of Social and Behavioral Sciences, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Amherst, MA 01002.
James G KahnInstitute for Health Policy Studies, School of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, CA 94118.
Burton H SingerEmerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32610.ORCID 0000-0002-5295-5971
Meagan C FitzpatrickCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06510.
Yale University · USAmherst College · USUniversity of California, San Francisco · USUniversity of Florida · USUniversity of Maryland, Baltimore · US

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Accelerating viral outbreak detection in US cities using mechanistic models, machine learning and diverse geospatial dataR01AI151176 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI GALVANI, ALISON P, MEYERS, LAUREN ANCEL · 2020 to 2024
$3.9M
Mathematical modeling to optimize rotavirus vaccination in sub-Saharan AfricaK01AI141576 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND BALTIMORE · PI FITZPATRICK, MEAGAN COLLEEN · 2019 to 2023
$649k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NIAID NIH HHS K01 AI141576NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI151176
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The fragmented and inefficient healthcare system in the United States leads to many preventable deaths and unnecessary costs every year. During a pandemic, the lives saved and economic benefits of a single-payer universal healthcare system relative to the status quo would be even greater. For Americans who are uninsured and underinsured, financial barriers to COVID-19 care delayed diagnosis and exacerbated transmission. Concurrently, deaths beyond COVID-19 accrued from the background rate of uninsurance. Universal healthcare would alleviate the mortality caused by the confluence of these factors. To evaluate the repercussions of incomplete insurance coverage in 2020, we calculated the elevated mortality attributable to the loss of employer-sponsored insurance and to background rates of uninsurance, summing with the increased COVID-19 mortality due to low insurance coverage. Incorporating the demography of the uninsured with age-specific COVID-19 and nonpandemic mortality, we estimated that a single-payer universal healthcare system would have saved about 212,000 lives in 2020 alone. We also calculated that US$105.6 billion of medical expenses associated with COVID-19 hospitalization could have been averted by a single-payer universal healthcare system over the course of the pandemic. These economic benefits are in addition to US$438 billion expected to be saved by single-payer universal healthcare during a nonpandemic year.

Indexed as

COVID-19PandemicsUniversal Health CareHumansInsurance CoverageMedically UninsuredUnited Statescosts savedlives savedpandemic preparednessuniversal healthcare

Identifiers

PMID35696578
PMCPMC9231482
OpenAlexW4282558826

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.