ArticleGlobal change biology2022
Global increase in methane production under future warming of lake bottom waters.
Article in Global change biology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.
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Who cites it
13 citing papers in PubMed.
- Aerobic Methane Oxidation in the Water Column of the Shallow Eutrophic Temperate Lake Kasumigaura.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Lake sediment heatwaves under global warming.Nature geoscience · 2026Article
- Microbial oxidation significantly reduces methane export from global groundwaters.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Time-series metatranscriptomics reveals differential salinity effects on the methanogenic food web in paddy soil.mSystems · 2025Article
- Enhanced heating effect of lakes under global warming.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Future methane emissions from lakes and reservoirs.Nature water · 2025Article
- Subsurface heatwaves in lakes.Nature climate change · 2025Article
- Combining a Multi-Lake Model Ensemble and a Multi-Domain CORDEX Climate Data Ensemble for Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Lake Sevan.Water resources research · 2024Article
- Spatio-temporal variations of methane fluxes in sediments of a deep stratified temperate lake.iScience · 2024Article
- The pace of shifting seasons in lakes.Nature communications · 2023Article
- Global increase in methane production under future warming of lake bottom waters.Global change biology · 2022Article
- Environmental changes affect the microbial release of hydrogen sulfide and methane from sediments at Boknis Eck (SW Baltic Sea).Frontiers in microbiology · 2022Article
- Climate change effects on plankton recruitment from coastal sediments.Journal of plankton researchArticle
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
19 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Lakes are significant emitters of methane to the atmosphere, and thus are important components of the global methane budget. Methane is typically produced in lake sediments, with the rate of methane production being strongly temperature dependent. Local and regional studies highlight the risk of increasing methane production under future climate change, but a global estimate is not currently available. Here, we project changes in global lake bottom temperatures and sediment methane production rates from 1901 to 2099. By the end of the 21st century, lake bottom temperatures are projected to increase globally, by an average of 0.86-2.60°C under Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 2.6-8.5, with greater warming projected at lower latitudes. This future warming of bottom waters will likely result in an increase in methane production rates of 13%-40% by the end of the century, with many low-latitude lakes experiencing an increase of up to 17 times the historical (1970-1999) global average under RCP 8.5. The projected increase in methane production will likely lead to higher emissions from lakes, although the exact magnitude of the emission increase requires more detailed regional studies.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.