Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35691660›Full record

ArticleSpatial and spatio-temporal epidemiology2022

Statistical methods for linking geostatistical maps and transmission models: Application to lymphatic filariasis in East Africa.

Panayiota Touloupou, Renata Retkute, T Déirdre Hollingsworth, Simon E F Spencer

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Spatial and spatio-temporal epidemiology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. An Ensemble Framework for Projecting the Impact of Lymphatic Filariasis Interventions Across Sub-Saharan Africa at a Fine Spatial Scale.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2024
    Article
  4. Subnational Projections of Lymphatic Filariasis Elimination Targets in Ethiopia to Support National Level Policy.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2024
    Article
  5. Modernizing the design and analysis of prevalence surveys for neglected tropical diseases.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Panayiota TouloupouSchool of Mathematics, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK. Electronic address: P.Touloupou@bham.ac.uk.
Renata RetkuteDepartment of Plant Sciences, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK. Electronic address: rr614@cam.ac.uk.
T Déirdre HollingsworthBig Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK. Electronic address: Deirdre.Hollingsworth@bdi.ox.ac.uk.
Simon E F SpencerDepartment of Statistics, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK; Zeeman Institute, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK. Electronic address: S.E.F.Spencer@warwick.ac.uk.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Infectious diseases remain one of the major causes of human mortality and suffering. Mathematical models have been established as an important tool for capturing the features that drive the spread of the disease, predicting the progression of an epidemic and hence guiding the development of strategies to control it. Another important area of epidemiological interest is the development of geostatistical methods for the analysis of data from spatially referenced prevalence surveys. Maps of prevalence are useful, not only for enabling a more precise disease risk stratification, but also for guiding the planning of more reliable spatial control programmes by identifying affected areas. Despite the methodological advances that have been made in each area independently, efforts to link transmission models and geostatistical maps have been limited. Motivated by this fact, we developed a Bayesian approach that combines fine-scale geostatistical maps of disease prevalence with transmission models to provide quantitative, spatially-explicit projections of the current and future impact of control programs against a disease. These estimates can then be used at a local level to identify the effectiveness of suggested intervention schemes and allow investigation of alternative strategies. The methodology has been applied to lymphatic filariasis in East Africa to provide estimates of the impact of different intervention strategies against the disease.

Indexed as

Elephantiasis, FilarialAfrica, EasternBayes TheoremHumansModels, StatisticalModels, TheoreticalPrevalenceBayesian methodsFine-scale spatial predictionsLinking maps with modelsLymphatic filariasisProjectionsUncertainty

Identifiers

PMID35691660
PMCPMC9205338

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.