ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2022
Projecting Informal Care Demand among Older Koreans between 2020 and 2067.
Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
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Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed, 16 citations in OpenAlex.
- The Future Dynamics of Long-Term Care Pressure in China's Longevity Era: A Prediction Based on the Discrete-Time Markov Model.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Relationship between caregiving burden and alterations in circadian rhythms among spousal caregivers of individuals with cognitive impairment.BMC geriatrics · 2025Article
- Development and preliminary validation of a questionnaire on the care needs of family carers of older individuals with disabilities in China: a mixed methods study.BMC geriatrics · 2024Article
- What determines informal care need among community-dwelling older adults in China? Results from a longitudinal study.BMC geriatrics · 2024Article
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Authors and funding
4 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundThe number of Korean older people receiving informal care is expected to rise sharply due to aging population. This study makes projections of demand for informal care in community-dwelling older people aged 65 and over in Korea until 2067.
methodThe study drew on data collected from waves 4-6 of the Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging (2012-2016,
resultsThe number of older people receiving informal care will increase from 0.71 million in 2020 to 2.2 million in 2067. Demand for informal care from adult children or relatives is projected to rise by 257%, much faster than the increase in demand for spousal care (164%). The estimates are sensitive to alternative assumptions about future mortality rates, fertility rates, patterns of migration, and the prevalence of functional disabilities in the population.
conclusionDemand for informal care in Korea will rise substantially in the coming decades, and the increase will be uneven for different groups of care users. Our analyses are not only relevant to the long-term care system for the general older population but also have profound implications for intensive users of long-term care in Korea. The findings highlight the importance of accurate identification of unmet needs in the population and timely delivery of government support to older people and their informal caregivers.
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