ArticleNature communications2022
Disease-economy trade-offs under alternative epidemic control strategies.
Article in Nature communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 20 papers.
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Who cites it
20 citing papers in PubMed.
- Optimization of infectious disease intervention measures using reinforcement learning with UK COVID-19 epidemic data.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Optimal prevention and control strategy of infectious disease: Cost-effectiveness analysis based on a modified dynamic model with economic loss.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2026Article
- Inferring epidemiological parameters under an infectious phylogeography model with visitor dynamics.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025Article
- Improving policy design and epidemic response using integrated models of economic choice and disease dynamics with behavioral feedback.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Optimal algorithms for controlling infectious diseases in real time using noisy infection data.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Existence and stability of equilibria in infectious disease dynamics with behavioral feedback.Physical review. E · 2025Article
- Global burden associated with rare infectious diseases of poverty in 2021: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2024Article
- Modelling the effectiveness of an isolation strategy for managing mpox outbreaks with variable infectiousness profiles.Nature communications · 2024Article
- A Metric of Societal Burden Based on Virus Succession to Determine Economic Losses and Health Benefits of China's Lockdown Policies: Model Development and Validation.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2024Article
- Enhancing social cohesion with cooperative bots in societies of greedy, mobile individuals.PNAS nexus · 2024Article
- Parameter estimation in behavioral epidemic models with endogenous societal risk-response.PLoS computational biology · 2024Article
- The unequal effects of the health-economy trade-off during the COVID-19 pandemic.Nature human behaviour · 2024Article
- Stabilizing the return to normal behavior in an epidemic.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2023Article
- Epidemic Management via Imperfect Testing: A Multi-criterial Perspective.Bulletin of mathematical biology · 2023Article
- Proactive vs. reactive country responses to the COVID-19 pandemic shock.PLOS global public health · 2023Article
- Designing isolation guidelines for COVID-19 patients with rapid antigen tests.Nature communications · 2022Article
- Disease-economy trade-offs under alternative epidemic control strategies.Nature communications · 2022Article
- Designing isolation guidelines for COVID-19 patients utilizing rapid antigen tests: a simulation study using viral dynamics models.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2022Article
- How to control the spatiotemporal spread of Omicron in the region with low vaccination rates.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Article
Corrections and comments
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Public policy and academic debates regarding pandemic control strategies note disease-economy trade-offs, often prioritizing one outcome over the other. Using a calibrated, coupled epi-economic model of individual behavior embedded within the broader economy during a novel epidemic, we show that targeted isolation strategies can avert up to 91% of economic losses relative to voluntary isolation strategies. Unlike widely-used blanket lockdowns, economic savings of targeted isolation do not impose additional disease burdens, avoiding disease-economy trade-offs. Targeted isolation achieves this by addressing the fundamental coordination failure between infectious and susceptible individuals that drives the recession. Importantly, we show testing and compliance frictions can erode some of the gains from targeted isolation, but improving test quality unlocks the majority of the benefits of targeted isolation.
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