Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35679262›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2022

Faster indicators of chikungunya incidence using Google searches.

Sam Miller, Tobias Preis, Giovanni Mizzi, Leonardo Soares Bastos, Marcelo Ferreira da Costa Gomes, Flávio Codeço Coelho, Claudia Torres Codeço, Helen Susannah Moat

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Sam MillerData Science Lab, Behavioural Science, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-6788-2365
Tobias PreisData Science Lab, Behavioural Science, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-9185-0892
Giovanni MizziData Science Lab, Behavioural Science, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-7892-5888
Leonardo Soares BastosPrograma de Computação Científica, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-1406-0122
Marcelo Ferreira da Costa GomesPrograma de Computação Científica, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-4693-5402
Flávio Codeço CoelhoEscola de Matemática Aplicada, Fundação Getulio Vargas, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-3868-4391
Claudia Torres CodeçoPrograma de Computação Científica, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Helen Susannah MoatData Science Lab, Behavioural Science, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-8974-9277

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Chikungunya, a mosquito-borne disease, is a growing threat in Brazil, where over 640,000 cases have been reported since 2017. However, there are often long delays between diagnoses of chikungunya cases and their entry in the national monitoring system, leaving policymakers without the up-to-date case count statistics they need. In contrast, weekly data on Google searches for chikungunya is available with no delay. Here, we analyse whether Google search data can help improve rapid estimates of chikungunya case counts in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. We build on a Bayesian approach suitable for data that is subject to long and varied delays, and find that including Google search data reduces both model error and uncertainty. These improvements are largest during epidemics, which are particularly important periods for policymakers. Including Google search data in chikungunya surveillance systems may therefore help policymakers respond to future epidemics more quickly.

Indexed as

Chikungunya FeverChikungunya virusAnimalsBayes TheoremBrazilIncidenceSearch Engine

Identifiers

PMID35679262
PMCPMC9182328

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.