Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35677759›Full record

ArticleJournal of social computing2021

Hybrid Predictive Ensembles: Synergies Between Human and Computational Forecasts.

Lu Hong, P J Lamberson, Scott E Page

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of social computing, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Lu HongDepartment of Finance, Loyola University Chicago, Chicago, IL 606002, USA.
P J LambersonDepartment of Communication, University of California at Los Angeles (UCLA), Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.
Scott E PageRoss Business School, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48104, USA.
Loyola University Chicago · USRoss School · USUniversity of California, Los Angeles · US

Funding

Team Dynamics, Networks, and Assembly (Team DNA)R01GM112938 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI LAMBERSON, PETER JOHN · 2016 to 2020
$1.7M
NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM112938
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

An increasing proportion of decisions, design choices, and predictions are being made by hybrid groups consisting of humans and artificial intelligence (AI). In this paper, we provide analytic foundations that explain the potential benefits of hybrid groups on predictive tasks, the primary use of AI. Our analysis relies on interpretive and generative signal frameworks as well as a distinction between the big data used by AI and the thick, often narrative data used by humans. We derive several conditions on accuracy and correlation necessary for humans to remain in the loop. We conclude that human adaptability along with the potential for atypical cases that mislead AI will likely mean that humans always add value on predictive tasks.

Indexed as

big datacollective intelligencehybrid groupspredictive modelsthick data

Identifiers

PMID35677759
PMCPMC9173944
OpenAlexW3194821224

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.