Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35676273›Full record

ArticleNature communications2022

Cost increase in the electricity supply to achieve carbon neutrality in China.

Zhenyu Zhuo, Ershun Du, Ning Zhang, Chris P Nielsen, Xi Lu, Jinyu Xiao, Jiawei Wu, Chongqing Kang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 47 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
47citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

47 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. China's Low-Carbon Energy Transition Over the Past Two Decades: Experiences and Implications.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2026
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Zhenyu ZhuoDepartment of Electrical Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1040-8611
Ershun DuInstitute of Climate Change and Sustainable Development, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China.
Ning ZhangDepartment of Electrical Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China. ningzhang@tsinghua.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0366-4657
Chris P NielsenHarvard-China Project on Energy, Economy and Environment, John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, 02138, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8043-2409
Xi LuSchool of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5063-3776
Jinyu XiaoGlobal Energy Interconnection Development and Cooperation Organization, Beijing, 100031, China.
Jiawei WuGlobal Energy Interconnection Development and Cooperation Organization, Beijing, 100031, China.
Chongqing KangDepartment of Electrical Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China. cqkang@tsinghua.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2296-8250

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 51907100National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 52130702National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 52177093National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 72025401
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Chinese government has set long-term carbon neutrality and renewable energy (RE) development goals for the power sector. Despite a precipitous decline in the costs of RE technologies, the external costs of renewable intermittency and the massive investments in new RE capacities would increase electricity costs. Here, we develop a power system expansion model to comprehensively evaluate changes in the electricity supply costs over a 30-year transition to carbon neutrality. RE supply curves, operating security constraints, and the characteristics of various generation units are modelled in detail to assess the cost variations accurately. According to our results, approximately 5.8 TW of wind and solar photovoltaic capacity would be required to achieve carbon neutrality in the power system by 2050. The electricity supply costs would increase by 9.6 CNY¢/kWh. The major cost shift would result from the substantial investments in RE capacities, flexible generation resources, and network expansion.

Identifiers

PMID35676273
PMCPMC9177843

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.