Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35672834›Full record

Trial reportCritical care (London, England)2022

Baseline plasma IL-18 may predict simvastatin treatment response in patients with ARDS: a secondary analysis of the HARP-2 randomised clinical trial.

Andrew James Boyle, Peter Ferris, Ian Bradbury, John Conlon, Manu Shankar-Hari, Angela J Rogers, Cecilia M O'Kane, Daniel F McAuley

Open access · goldAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Critical care (London, England), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.1field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 36 citations in OpenAlex.

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  9. Optimizing endpoints in early phase clinical trials of acute respiratory distress syndrome.American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine · 2026
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  11. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Andrew James Boyle *Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Centre for Experimental Medicine, Queen's University Belfast, 97 Lisburn Road, Belfast, Northern Ireland. aboyle26@qub.ac.uk.
Peter Ferris *Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Centre for Experimental Medicine, Queen's University Belfast, 97 Lisburn Road, Belfast, Northern Ireland.
Ian Bradbury, Belfast, Northern Ireland.
John ConlonWellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Centre for Experimental Medicine, Queen's University Belfast, 97 Lisburn Road, Belfast, Northern Ireland.
Manu Shankar-HariCentre for Inflammation Research, The University of Edinburgh, The Queen's Medical Research Institute, 47 Little France Crescent, Edinburgh, EH16 4TJ, UK.
Angela J RogersDivision of Pulmonary, Allergy, and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Cecilia M O'KaneWellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Centre for Experimental Medicine, Queen's University Belfast, 97 Lisburn Road, Belfast, Northern Ireland.
Daniel F McAuleyWellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Centre for Experimental Medicine, Queen's University Belfast, 97 Lisburn Road, Belfast, Northern Ireland.
Royal Victoria Eye and Ear Hospital · IEStanford University · USUniversity of Edinburgh · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_G1002460
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundInterleukin (IL)-18 is a marker of inflammasome activation, and high baseline plasma IL-18 is associated with increased mortality in patients with sepsis-induced ARDS. The aim of this analysis was to determine if simvastatin was associated with benefit in patients with ARDS and high plasma IL-18.

methodsIn this secondary analysis of the HARP-2 study, we compared 28-day mortality and response to simvastatin according to baseline plasma IL-18 using cox proportional hazards analysis. Separately, monocyte-derived macrophages from healthy volunteers were pre-incubated with simvastatin or rosuvastatin before stimulation with ATP and LPS, and the effect on secreted IL-18 and IL-1β compared.

results511 patients from HARP-2 had available data. High baseline plasma IL-18 (≥ 800 pg/ml) was associated with increased 28-day mortality (high IL-18 30.6% vs. low IL-18 17.5%; HR 1.89 [95% CI 1.30-2.73]; p = 0.001). Allocation to simvastatin in patients with high baseline plasma IL-18 was associated with a lower probability of 28-day mortality compared with placebo (24.0% vs 36.8%; p = 0.01). Finally, simvastatin, but not rosuvastatin, reduced stimulated macrophage secretion of IL-18 and IL-1β.

conclusionIn patients with high baseline plasma IL-18, simvastatin is associated with a higher probability of survival, and this effect may be due to reduced inflammasome activation. These data suggest that baseline plasma IL-18 may allow a personalised treatment approach by identifying patients with ARDS who could benefit from simvastatin therapy.

Indexed as

Respiratory Distress SyndromeSimvastatinCarrier ProteinsCytokinesHumansInflammasomesInterleukin-18Carrier ProteinsCytokinesInflammasomesInterleukin-18pleiotrophinSimvastatinAcute respiratory distress syndromeInflammasomeInterleukin-18Personalised medicineSimvastatin

Identifiers

PMID35672834
PMCPMC9175337
OpenAlexW4281867325

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.