Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35664037›Full record

ArticleWorld journal of gastroenterology2022

Development and external validation of models to predict acute respiratory distress syndrome related to severe acute pancreatitis.

Yun-Long Li, Ding-Ding Zhang, Yang-Yang Xiong, Rui-Feng Wang, Xiao-Mao Gao, Hui Gong, Shi-Cheng Zheng, Dong Wu

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in World journal of gastroenterology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
4.4field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Yun-Long LiDepartment of Gastroenterology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Beijing 100730, China.
Ding-Ding ZhangMedical Research Center, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Beijing 100730, China.
Yang-Yang XiongDepartment of Gastroenterology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Beijing 100730, China.
Rui-Feng WangDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin 150001, Heilongjiang Province, China.
Xiao-Mao GaoDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Sixth Hospital of Beijing, Beijing 100191, China.
Hui GongDepartment of Gastroenterology, West China Longquan Hospital Sichuan University, Chengdu 610100, Sichuan Province, China.
Shi-Cheng ZhengDepartment of Gastroenterology, West China Longquan Hospital Sichuan University, Chengdu 610100, Sichuan Province, China.
Dong WuDepartment of Gastroenterology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Beijing 100730, China.
Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College · CNFourth Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University · CNPeking Union Medical College Hospital · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAcute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is a major cause of death in patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP). Although a series of prediction models have been developed for early identification of such patients, the majority are complicated or lack validation. A simpler and more credible model is required for clinical practice.

aimTo develop and validate a predictive model for SAP related ARDS.

methodsPatients diagnosed with AP from four hospitals located at different regions of China were retrospectively grouped into derivation and validation cohorts. Statistically significant variables were identified using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression method. Predictive models with nomograms were further built using multiple logistic regression analysis with these picked predictors. The discriminatory power of new models was compared with some common models. The performance of calibration ability and clinical utility of the predictive models were evaluated.

resultsOut of 597 patients with AP, 139 were diagnosed with SAP (80 in derivation cohort and 59 in validation cohort) and 99 with ARDS (62 in derivation cohort and 37 in validation cohort). Four identical variables were identified as independent risk factors for both SAP and ARDS: heart rate [odds ratio (OR) = 1.05; 95%CI: 1.04-1.07;

conclusionThe present study constructed and validated a simple and accurate predictive model for SAP-related ARDS in patients with AP.

Indexed as

PancreatitisRespiratory Distress SyndromeAcute DiseaseHumansRetrospective StudiesROC CurveAcute pancreatitisAcute respiratory distress syndromeCalibrationEarly identificationNomogramPredictive model

Identifiers

PMID35664037
PMCPMC9134137
OpenAlexW4280497791

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.