Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35653390›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2022

An unusually long Rift valley fever inter-epizootic period in Zambia: Evidence for enzootic virus circulation and risk for disease outbreak.

Herman M Chambaro, Kazuyo Hirose, Michihito Sasaki, Brigadier Libanda, Yona Sinkala, Paul Fandamu, Walter Muleya, Fredrick Banda, Joseph Chizimu, David Squarre and 7 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Rift Valley fever and invisible women.Research directions. One health · 2025
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors at 6 institutions in 4 countries.

Herman M ChambaroInternational Institute for Zoonosis Control, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan.
Kazuyo HiroseJapan Space Systems, Tokyo, Japan.
Michihito SasakiInternational Institute for Zoonosis Control, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0003-1607-2175
Brigadier LibandaThe University of Edinburgh, School of Geosciences, Edinburgh, Scotland, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-8215-5572
Yona SinkalaMinistry of Fisheries and Livestock, Lusaka, Zambia.ORCID 0000-0001-7092-9884
Paul FandamuMinistry of Fisheries and Livestock, Lusaka, Zambia.
Walter MuleyaThe University of Zambia, School of Veterinary Medicine, Lusaka, Zambia.ORCID 0000-0001-8874-3965
Fredrick BandaVirology Unit, Central Veterinary Research Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.
Joseph ChizimuInternational Institute for Zoonosis Control, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-2126-5759
David SquarreInternational Institute for Zoonosis Control, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan.
Misheck ShawaInternational Institute for Zoonosis Control, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan.
Yongjin QiuInternational Institute for Zoonosis Control, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-8621-5472
Hayato HarimaInternational Institute for Zoonosis Control, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-6704-4601
Yuki EshitaInternational Institute for Zoonosis Control, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-1468-703X
Edgar SimulunduThe University of Zambia, School of Veterinary Medicine, Lusaka, Zambia.ORCID 0000-0001-9423-0816
Hirofumi SawaInternational Institute for Zoonosis Control, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0003-2569-2755
Yasuko OrbaInternational Institute for Zoonosis Control, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-9910-3912
Hokkaido University · JPMinistry of Agriculture and Livestock · ZMMinistry of Health · ZMUniversity of Zambia · ZMSapporo University · JPUniversity of Edinburgh · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Rift valley fever (RVF) is a mosquito-borne disease of animals and humans. Although RVF outbreaks are usually reported at 5-15-year intervals in sub-Saharan Africa, Zambia has experienced an unusually long inter-epizootic/-epidemic period of more than three decades. However, serological evidence of RVF virus (RVFV) infection in domestic ruminants during this period underscores the need for comprehensive investigation of the mechanisms of virus perpetuation and disease emergence. Mosquitoes (n = 16,778) captured from eight of the ten provinces of Zambia between April 2014 and May 2019 were pooled (n = 961) and screened for RVFV genome by a pan-phlebo RT-PCR assay. Aedes mosquito pools (n = 85) were further screened by nested RT-PCR assay. Sera from sheep (n = 13), goats (n = 259) and wild ungulates (n = 285) were screened for RVFV antibodies by ELISA while genome detection in pooled sera (n = 276) from domestic (n = 248) and wild ungulates (n = 37) was performed by real-time RT-PCR assay. To examine the association between the long inter-epizootic period and climatic variables, we examined El Niño-Southern Oscillation indices, precipitation anomalies, and normalized difference vegetation index. We then derived RVF risk maps by exploring climatic variables that would favor emergence of primary RVFV vectors. While no RVFV genome could be detected in pooled mosquito and serum samples, seroprevalence was significantly high (OR = 8.13, 95% CI [4.63-14.25]) in wild ungulates (33.7%; 96/285) compared to domestic ruminants (5.6%; 16/272). Retrospective analysis of RVF epizootics in Zambia showed a positive correlation between anomalous precipitation (La Niña) and disease emergence. On risk mapping, whilst northern and eastern parts of the country were at high risk, domestic ruminant population density was low (< 21 animals/km2) in these areas compared to low risk areas (>21 animals/km2). Besides evidence of silent circulation of RVFV and the risk of disease emergence in some areas, wildlife may play a role in the maintenance of RVFV in Zambia.

Indexed as

CulicidaeRift Valley FeverRift Valley fever virusAnimalsAntibodies, ViralDisease OutbreaksMosquito VectorsReal-Time Polymerase Chain ReactionRetrospective StudiesRuminantsSeroepidemiologic StudiesSheepZambiaAntibodies, Viral

Identifiers

PMID35653390
PMCPMC9197056
OpenAlexW4281739461

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.