Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35644125›Full record

ArticleEBioMedicine2022

Predictive value of CD8+ T cell and CD4/CD8 ratio at two years of successful ART in the risk of AIDS and non-AIDS events.

Sergio Serrano-Villar, Kunling Wu, Peter W Hunt, Judith J Lok, Raquel Ron, Talía Sainz, Santiago Moreno, Steven G Deeks, Ronald J Bosch

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EBioMedicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 29 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Review
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  7. Tripterygium wilfordii Hook F accelerates CD4Frontiers in pharmacology · 2026
    Article
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  9. Observational
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  11. Under the Radar: Immune Evasion, Pathogenesis and Control of HIV Infection.International journal of molecular sciences · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Sergio Serrano-VillarDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal and IRYCIS, Carretera de Colmenar Viejo, km 9.100, Madrid 28034, Spain; Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain; San Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, CA, USA. Electronic address: sergio.serrano@salud.madrid.org.
Kunling WuHarvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Peter W HuntSan Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Judith J LokBoston University, Boston, MA, USA.
Raquel RonDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal and IRYCIS, Carretera de Colmenar Viejo, km 9.100, Madrid 28034, Spain; Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Talía SainzCentro de Investigación Biomédica en Red, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain; Hospital Universitario La Paz and La Paz Research Institute (IdiPAZ), Madrid, Spain.
Santiago MorenoDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal and IRYCIS, Carretera de Colmenar Viejo, km 9.100, Madrid 28034, Spain; Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Steven G DeeksSan Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Ronald J BoschHarvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
San Francisco General Hospital · USHarvard University · USInstituto Cajal · ESHospital Universitario La Paz · ES

Funding

Leadership and Operations Center (LOC), AIDS Clinical Trials Group (ACTG); LOC 1/UM1AI068636 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Joseph J Eron, RAJESH T GANDHI · 2011 to 2026
$1073.1M
Statistical and Data Management Center (SDMC), AIDS Clinical Trials Group (ACTG)UM1AI068634 · NIAID · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI Marlene Ann Cooper, Michael David Hughes · 2011 to 2026
$246.6M
Validation, CLIA and Qualification (VQC): Enhancing the RS ratio as a tool for AIDS Clinical Trial Group (ACTG) tuberculosis trialsUM1AI106701 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI Grace M Aldrovandi · 2014 to 2026
$116.8M
San Francisco Vaccine and Prevention UnitUM1AI069496 · NIAID · PUBLIC HEALTH FOUNDATION ENTERPRISES · PI Susan Buchbinder, Diane V Havlir · 2012 to 2026
$30.5M
Persistent Functional Immune Defects in Treated HIV InfectionK24AI145806 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI HUNT, PETER W · 2020 to 2024
$921k
NIAID NIH HHS K24 AI145806NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI068634NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI068636NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI069496NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI106701
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWhile increased CD8 counts and low CD4/CD8 ratio during treated HIV correlate with immunosenescence, their additional predictive values to identify individuals with HIV at higher risk of clinical events remain controversial.

methodsWe selected treatment-naive individuals initiating ART from ACTG studies 384, 388, A5095, A5142, A5202, and A5257 who had achieved viral suppression at year 2. We examined the effect of CD8+ T cell counts and CD4/CD8 at year 2 on the probability of AIDS and serious non-AIDS events in years 3-7. We used inverse probability weighting methods to address informative censoring, combined with multivariable logistic regression models.

findingsWe analyzed 5133 participants with a median age of 38 years; 959 (19%) were female, pre-ART median CD4 counts were 249 (Q1-Q3 91-372) cell/µL. Compared to participants with CD8 counts between 500/µL and 1499/µL, those with >1500/µL had a higher risk of clinical events during years 3-7 (aOR 1.75; 95%CI 1.33-2.32). CD4/CD8 ratio was not predictive of greater risk of events through year 7. Additional analyses revealed consistent CD8 count effect sizes for the risk of AIDS events and noninfectious non-AIDS events, but opposite effects for the risk of severe infections, which were more frequent among individuals with CD8 counts <500/µL (aOR 1.70; 95%CI 1.09-2.65).

interpretationThe results of this analysis with pooled data from clinical trials support the value of the CD8 count as a predictor of clinical progression. People with very high CD8 counts during suppressive ART might benefit from closer monitoring and may be a target population for novel interventions.

fundingThis research was supported by NIH/NIAID awards UM1 AI068634, UM1 AI068636, and UM1 AI106701 and Carlos III Health Institute and FEDER funds (BA21/00017 and BA21/00022).

Indexed as

Acquired Immunodeficiency SyndromeAnti-HIV AgentsHIV InfectionsAdultAntiretroviral Therapy, Highly ActiveCD4-CD8 RatioCD4 Lymphocyte CountCD8-Positive T-LymphocytesFemaleHumansMaleViral LoadAnti-HIV AgentsAntiretroviral therapyCD4/CD8 ratioCD4+ T cellsCD8+ T cellsClinical outcomesHIVMortality

Identifiers

PMID35644125
PMCPMC9156990
OpenAlexW4281749053

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.