Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35642636›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of clinical investigation2022

A deep-learning system predicts glaucoma incidence and progression using retinal photographs.

Fei Li, Yuandong Su, Fengbin Lin, Zhihuan Li, Yunhe Song, Sheng Nie, Jie Xu, Linjiang Chen, Shiyan Chen, Hao Li and 18 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of clinical investigation, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 64 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
64citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
25.1field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

64 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 130 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Association Between Polymorphisms of 4 Common Genes and High Myopia Risk: A Comprehensive Analysis.Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

4 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

28 authors at 18 institutions in 4 countries.

Fei LiState Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology, Zhongshan Ophthalmic Center, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology and Visual Science, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Ocular Diseases, Guangzhou, China.
Yuandong SuState Key Laboratory of Biotherapy and Center for Translational Innovations, West China Hospital and Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Fengbin LinState Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology, Zhongshan Ophthalmic Center, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology and Visual Science, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Ocular Diseases, Guangzhou, China.
Zhihuan LiPKU-MUST Center for Future Technology, Faculty of Medicine, Macao University of Science and Technology, Macau, China.
Yunhe SongState Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology, Zhongshan Ophthalmic Center, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology and Visual Science, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Ocular Diseases, Guangzhou, China.
Sheng NieState Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, National Clinical Research Center for Kidney Disease and Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
Jie XuBeijing Institute of Ophthalmology, Beijing Tongren Eye Center, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Beijing Ophthalmology and Visual Science Key Lab, Beijing, China.
Linjiang ChenDepartment of Ophthalmology, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
Shiyan ChenDepartment of Ophthalmology, Sichuan Academy of Medical Sciences & Sichuan Provincial People's Hospital, Chengdu, China.
Hao LiDepartment of Ophthalmology, Guizhou Provincial People's Hospital, Guiyang, China.
Kanmin XueNuffield Laboratory of Ophthalmology, Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Oxford and Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Huixin CheHe Eye Specialist Hospital, Shenyang, Liaoning Province, China.
Zhengui ChenJiangmen Xinhui Aier New Hope Eye Hospital, Jiangmen, Guangdong, China.
Bin YangDepartment of Ophthalmology, Zigong Third People's Hospital, Zigong, China.
Huiying ZhangDepartment of Ophthalmology, Fujian Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou, China.
Ming GeDepartment of Ophthalmology and Optometry, Guizhou Nursing Vocational College, Guiyang, China.
Weihui ZhongDepartment of Ophthalmology, Guangzhou Development District Hospital, Guangzhou, China.
Chunman YangDepartment of Ophthalmology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guizhou Medical University, Kaili, China.
Lina ChenDepartment of Ophthalmology, The Third People's Hospital of Dalian, Dalian, Liaoning Province, China.
Fanyin WangDepartment of Ophthalmology, Shenzhen Qianhai Shekou Free Trade Zone Hospital, Shenzhen, China.
Yunqin JiaDepartment of Ophthalmology, Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture People's Hospital, Dali, China.
Wanlin LiDepartment of Ophthalmology, Wuwei People's Hospital, Wuwei, Gansu Province, China.
Yuqing WuDepartment of Ophthalmology, Joint Shantou International Eye Center of Shantou University and the Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shantou, Guangdong, China.
Yingjie LiDepartment of Ophthalmology, The First Hospital of Nanchang City, Nanchang, China.
Yuanxu GaoPKU-MUST Center for Future Technology, Faculty of Medicine, Macao University of Science and Technology, Macau, China.
Yong ZhouClinical Research Institute, Shanghai General Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Kang ZhangPKU-MUST Center for Future Technology, Faculty of Medicine, Macao University of Science and Technology, Macau, China.
Xiulan ZhangState Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology, Zhongshan Ophthalmic Center, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology and Visual Science, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Ocular Diseases, Guangzhou, China.
Macau University of Science and Technology · MOSun Yat-sen University · CNNanfang Hospital · CNGuangzhou Development Zone Hospital · CNBeijing Tongren Hospital · CNChinese University of Hong Kong · HKFujian Provincial Hospital · CNGuiyang Medical University · CNGuizhou Provincial People's Hospital · CNGuizhou University · CNHe Eye Hospital · CNHuawei Technologies (China) · CNNanchang University · CNOxford University Hospitals NHS Trust · GBShanghai First People's Hospital · CNSichuan Academy of Medical Sciences & Sichuan Provincial People's Hospital · CNXinhui People's Hospital · CNZigong First People's Hospital · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BackgroundDeep learning has been widely used for glaucoma diagnosis. However, there is no clinically validated algorithm for glaucoma incidence and progression prediction. This study aims to develop a clinically feasible deep-learning system for predicting and stratifying the risk of glaucoma onset and progression based on color fundus photographs (CFPs), with clinical validation of performance in external population cohorts.MethodsWe established data sets of CFPs and visual fields collected from longitudinal cohorts. The mean follow-up duration was 3 to 5 years across the data sets. Artificial intelligence (AI) models were developed to predict future glaucoma incidence and progression based on the CFPs of 17,497 eyes in 9346 patients. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve, sensitivity, and specificity of the AI models were calculated with reference to the labels provided by experienced ophthalmologists. Incidence and progression of glaucoma were determined based on longitudinal CFP images or visual fields, respectively.ResultsThe AI model to predict glaucoma incidence achieved an AUROC of 0.90 (0.81-0.99) in the validation set and demonstrated good generalizability, with AUROCs of 0.89 (0.83-0.95) and 0.88 (0.79-0.97) in external test sets 1 and 2, respectively. The AI model to predict glaucoma progression achieved an AUROC of 0.91 (0.88-0.94) in the validation set, and also demonstrated outstanding predictive performance with AUROCs of 0.87 (0.81-0.92) and 0.88 (0.83-0.94) in external test sets 1 and 2, respectively.ConclusionOur study demonstrates the feasibility of deep-learning algorithms in the early detection and prediction of glaucoma progression.FUNDINGNational Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC); the High-level Hospital Construction Project, Zhongshan Ophthalmic Center, Sun Yat-sen University; the Science and Technology Program of Guangzhou, China (2021), the Science and Technology Development Fund (FDCT) of Macau, and FDCT-NSFC.

Indexed as

Deep LearningGlaucomaArtificial IntelligenceFundus OculiHumansIncidenceOphthalmologyTranslation

Identifiers

PMID35642636
PMCPMC9151694
OpenAlexW4281747382

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.