Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35631070›Full record

ArticlePathogens (Basel, Switzerland)2022

Wild Bird Densities and Landscape Variables Predict Spatial Patterns in HPAI Outbreak Risk across The Netherlands.

Janneke Schreuder, Henrik J de Knegt, Francisca C Velkers, Armin R W Elbers, Julia Stahl, Roy Slaterus, J Arjan Stegeman, Willem F de Boer

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. A risk prediction model for HPAI outbreaks in Kuwait.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Janneke SchreuderDepartment of Population Health Sciences, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Utrecht University, 3584 CL Utrecht, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-0002-3053
Henrik J de KnegtWildlife Ecology and Conservation Group, Wageningen University & Research, 6708 PB Wageningen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-2105-6970
Francisca C VelkersDepartment of Population Health Sciences, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Utrecht University, 3584 CL Utrecht, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-2923-3233
Armin R W ElbersDepartment of Epidemiology, Bioinformatics and Animal Models, Wageningen Bioveterinary Research, 8221 RA Lelystad, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-5977-0219
Julia StahlSovon, Dutch Centre for Field Ornithology, 6525 ED Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Roy SlaterusSovon, Dutch Centre for Field Ornithology, 6525 ED Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
J Arjan StegemanDepartment of Population Health Sciences, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Utrecht University, 3584 CL Utrecht, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-4361-3846
Willem F de BoerWildlife Ecology and Conservation Group, Wageningen University & Research, 6708 PB Wageningen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-3208-8521

Funding

1Health4Food Public Private Partnership project: Fight Flu TKI-AF-15225
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses' (HPAIVs) transmission from wild birds to poultry occurs globally, threatening animal and public health. To predict the HPAI outbreak risk in relation to wild bird densities and land cover variables, we performed a case-control study of 26 HPAI outbreaks (cases) on Dutch poultry farms, each matched with four comparable controls. We trained machine learning classifiers to predict outbreak risk with predictors analyzed at different spatial scales. Of the 20 best explaining predictors, 17 consisted of densities of water-associated bird species, 2 of birds of prey, and 1 represented the surrounding landscape, i.e., agricultural cover. The spatial distribution of mallard (

Indexed as

avian influenzadisease outbreakshighly pathogenic avian influenzainfluenza A viruspoultryrandom forestspatial modellingsurveillancewild-domestic interface

Identifiers

PMID35631070
PMCPMC9143584

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.