Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35627656›Full record

ReviewInternational journal of environmental research and public health2022

Mitigation Planning and Policies Informed by COVID-19 Modeling: A Framework and Case Study of the State of Hawaii.

Thomas H Lee, Bobby Do, Levi Dantzinger, Joshua Holmes, Monique Chyba, Steven Hankins, Edward Mersereau, Kenneth Hara, Victoria Y Fan

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Incorporating Social Determinants of Health in Infectious Disease Models: A Systematic Review of Guidelines.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2024
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Thomas H LeeThompson School of Social Work & Public Health, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI 96822, USA.
Bobby DoThompson School of Social Work & Public Health, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI 96822, USA.
Levi DantzingerThompson School of Social Work & Public Health, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI 96822, USA.
Joshua HolmesThompson School of Social Work & Public Health, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI 96822, USA.
Monique ChybaDepartment of Mathematics, College of Natural Sciences, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI 96822, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3379-3660
Steven HankinsJohn A. Burns School of Medicine, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI 96813, USA.
Edward MersereauBehavioral Health Administration, Hawaii Department of Health, Honolulu, HI 96813, USA.
Kenneth HaraHawaii Department of Defense, Honolulu, HI 96816, USA.
Victoria Y FanThompson School of Social Work & Public Health, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI 96822, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7755-9425

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In the face of great uncertainty and a global crisis from COVID-19, mathematical and epidemiologic COVID-19 models proliferated during the pandemic. Yet, many models were not created with the explicit audience of policymakers, the intention of informing specific scenarios, or explicit communication of assumptions, limitations, and complexities. This study presents a case study of the roles, uses, and approaches to COVID-19 modeling and forecasting in one state jurisdiction in the United States. Based on an account of the historical real-world events through lived experiences, we first examine the specific modeling considerations used to inform policy decisions. Then, we review the real-world policy use cases and key decisions that were informed by modeling during the pandemic including the role of modeling in informing planning for hospital capacity, isolation and quarantine facilities, and broad public communication. Key lessons are examined through the real-world application of modeling, noting the importance of locally tailored models, the role of a scientific and technical advisory group, and the challenges of communicating technical considerations to a public audience.

Indexed as

COVID-19HawaiiHealth PolicyHumansPandemicsPolicy MakingUnited StatesCOVID-19epidemiologygovernancehospitalisolation and quarantinemedia and communicationmodelingpandemicpandemic preparednesspublic health planning

Identifiers

PMID35627656
PMCPMC9140577

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.