ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2022
Emergency Medical Services Calls Analysis for Trend Prediction during Epidemic Outbreaks: Interrupted Time Series Analysis on 2020-2021 COVID-19 Epidemic in Lazio, Italy.
Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
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Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed.
- When Bystanders Skip CPR: Insights from a Retrospective Study.Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania) · 2026Article
- CBRNe Personal Protective Equipment Is Not a Hindrance to Lifesaving Procedures in Prehospital Settings: A Prospective, Repeated-Measures Observational Study.Epidemiologia (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Data from Emergency Medical Service Activities: A Novel Approach to Monitoring COVID-19 and Other Infectious Diseases.Diagnostics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Applications to augment patient care for Internal Medicine specialists: a position paper from the EFIM working group on telemedicine, innovative technologies & digital health.Frontiers in public health · 2024Review
- Burden of delayed discharge on acute hospital medical wards: A retrospective ecological study in Rome, Italy.PloS one · 2024Observational
- Intra- and Extra-Hospitalization Monitoring of Vital Signs-Two Sides of the Same Coin: Perspectives from LIMS and Greenline-HT Study Operators.Sensors (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Appropriateness of frequent use of emergency departments: A retrospective analysis in Rome, Italy.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Increases in Ambulance Call Volume Are an Early Warning Sign of Major COVID-19 Surges in Children.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- The Emergency Performance of the Hungarian Ambulance Service during the COVID-19 Pandemic.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
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Authors and funding
10 authors.
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Abstract
(1) Background: During the COVID-19 outbreak in the Lazio region, a surge in emergency medical service (EMS) calls has been observed. The objective of present study is to investigate if there is any correlation between the variation in numbers of daily EMS calls, and the short-term evolution of the epidemic wave. (2) Methods: Data from the COVID-19 outbreak has been retrieved in order to draw the epidemic curve in the Lazio region. Data from EMS calls has been used in order to determine Excess of Calls (ExCa) in the 2020−2021 years, compared to the year 2019 (baseline). Multiple linear regression models have been run between ExCa and the first-order derivative (D’) of the epidemic wave in time, each regression model anticipating the epidemic progression (up to 14 days), in order to probe a correlation between the variables. (3) Results: EMS calls variation from baseline is correlated with the slope of the curve of ICU admissions, with the most fitting value found at 7 days (R2 0.33, p < 0.001). (4) Conclusions: EMS calls deviation from baseline allows public health services to predict short-term epidemic trends in COVID-19 outbreaks, and can be used as validation of current data, or as an independent estimator of future trends.
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