Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35617169›Full record

ArticlePloS one2022

Cost-effectiveness and impact of pre-exposure prophylaxis to prevent HIV among men who have sex with men in Asia: A modelling study.

Debra C Ten Brink, Rowan Martin-Hughes, Mark E Minnery, Aaron J Osborne, Heather-Marie A Schmidt, Shona Dalal, Kimberly E Green, Reshmie Ramaurtarsing, David P Wilson, Sherrie L Kelly

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 20 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. Review
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  9. Vaccination for monkeypox prevention in persons with high-risk sexual behaviours to control on-going outbreak of monkeypox virus clade 3.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 4 institutions in 4 countries.

Debra C Ten BrinkBurnet Institute, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-5938-6970
Rowan Martin-HughesBurnet Institute, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Mark E MinneryBurnet Institute, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-1517-3476
Aaron J OsborneBurnet Institute, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Heather-Marie A SchmidtUnited Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS, Regional Office for Asia and the Pacific, Bangkok, Thailand.
Shona DalalWorld Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Kimberly E GreenPATH, Hanoi, Vietnam.
Reshmie RamaurtarsingInstitute of HIV Research and Innovation, Bangkok, Thailand.
David P WilsonBurnet Institute, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Sherrie L KellyBurnet Institute, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Burnet Institute · AUWorld Health Organization · CHGates Foundation · USHIV Netherlands Australia Thailand Research Collaboration · TH

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionMore than 70% of new HIV infections in Asia occurred in eight countries in 2020: Cambodia, China, India, Indonesia, Myanmar, Nepal, Thailand, and Vietnam-with a rising incidence among men who have sex with men (MSM). The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) for those at risk of acquiring HIV, yet wide-scale implementation of PrEP, on a daily or event-driven basis, has been limited in Asia.

methodsThe Optima HIV model was applied to examine the impact of scaling-up PrEP over five-years to cover an additional 15% of MSM compared with baseline coverage, a target deemed feasible by regional experts. Based on behavioral survey data, we assume that covering 15% of higher-risk MSM will cover 30% of all sexual acts in this group. Scenarios to compare the impact of generic-brand daily dosing of PrEP with generic event-driven dosing (15 days a month) were modelled from the start of 2022 to the end of 2026. Cost-effectiveness of generic versus branded PrEP was also assessed for China, the only country with an active patent for branded, higher cost PrEP. The impact on new HIV infections among the entire population and cost per HIV-related disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted were estimated from the beginning of 2022 to the end of 2031 and from 2022 to 2051.

resultsIf PrEP were scaled-up to cover an additional 15% of MSM engaging in higher-risk behavior from the beginning of 2022 to the end of 2026 in the eight Asian countries considered, an additional 100,000 (66,000-130,000) HIV infections (17%) and 300,000 (198,000-390,000) HIV-related DALYs (3%) could be averted over the 2022 to 2031 period. The estimated cost per HIV-related DALY averted from 2022 to 2031 ranged from US$600 for event-driven generic PrEP in Indonesia to US$34,400 for daily branded PrEP in Thailand. Over a longer timeframe from 2022 to 2051, the cost per HIV-related DALY averted could be reduced to US$100-US$12,700.

conclusionPrEP is a critical tool to further reduce HIV incidence in highly concentrated epidemics. Implementing PrEP in Asia may be cost-effective in settings with increasing HIV prevalence among MSM and if PrEP drug costs can be reduced, PrEP could be more cost-effective over longer timeframes.

Indexed as

Anti-HIV AgentsHIV InfectionsPre-Exposure ProphylaxisSexual and Gender MinoritiesCost-Benefit AnalysisDrugs, GenericHomosexuality, MaleHumansMaleThailandAnti-HIV AgentsDrugs, Generic

Identifiers

PMID35617169
PMCPMC9135227
OpenAlexW4281677559

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.