Global sensitivity analysis in physiologically-based pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic models of inhaled and opioids anesthetics and its application to generate virtual populations.

The integration between physiologically-based pharmacokinetics (PBPK) models and pharmacodynamics (PD) models makes it possible to describe the absorption, distribution, metabolism and excretion processes of drugs, together with the concentration-response relationship, being a fundamental framework with wide applications in pharmacology. Nevertheless, the enormous complexity of PBPK models and the large number of parameters that define them leads to the need to study and understand how the uncertainty of the parameters affects the variability of the models output. To study this issue, this paper proposes a global sensitivity analysis (GSA) to identify the parameters that have the greatest influence on the response of the model. It has been selected as study cases the PBPK models of an inhaled anesthetic and an analgesic, along with two PD interaction models that describe two relevant clinical effects, hypnosis and analgesia during general anesthesia. The subset of the most relevant parameters found adequately with the GSA method has been optimized for the generation of a virtual population that represents the theoretical output variability of various model responses. The generated virtual population has the potential to be used for the design, development and evaluation of physiological closed-loop control systems.