Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35613036›Full record

ArticleThe New England journal of medicine2022

Protection and Waning of Natural and Hybrid Immunity to SARS-CoV-2.

Yair Goldberg, Micha Mandel, Yinon M Bar-On, Omri Bodenheimer, Laurence S Freedman, Nachman Ash, Sharon Alroy-Preis, Amit Huppert, Ron Milo

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The New England journal of medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 283 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
283citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
45.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

283 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 459 citations in OpenAlex.

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  2. Prepandemic cross-reactive humoral immunity to SARS-CoV-2 in Africa: Systematic review and meta-analysis.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2023
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223 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Yair GoldbergFrom the Faculty of Industrial Engineering and Management, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa (Y.G.), the Department of Statistics and Data Science, Hebrew University of Jerusalem (M.M.), and the Israeli Ministry of Health (O.B., N.A., S.A.-P.), Jerusalem, the Department of Plant and Environmental Sciences, Weizmann Institute of Science, Rehovot (Y.M.B.-O., R.M.), the Biostatistics and Biomathematics Unit, Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Sheba Medical Center, Ramat Gan (L.S.F., A.H.), and the Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv (A.H.) - all in Israel.
Micha MandelFrom the Faculty of Industrial Engineering and Management, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa (Y.G.), the Department of Statistics and Data Science, Hebrew University of Jerusalem (M.M.), and the Israeli Ministry of Health (O.B., N.A., S.A.-P.), Jerusalem, the Department of Plant and Environmental Sciences, Weizmann Institute of Science, Rehovot (Y.M.B.-O., R.M.), the Biostatistics and Biomathematics Unit, Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Sheba Medical Center, Ramat Gan (L.S.F., A.H.), and the Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv (A.H.) - all in Israel.
Yinon M Bar-OnFrom the Faculty of Industrial Engineering and Management, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa (Y.G.), the Department of Statistics and Data Science, Hebrew University of Jerusalem (M.M.), and the Israeli Ministry of Health (O.B., N.A., S.A.-P.), Jerusalem, the Department of Plant and Environmental Sciences, Weizmann Institute of Science, Rehovot (Y.M.B.-O., R.M.), the Biostatistics and Biomathematics Unit, Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Sheba Medical Center, Ramat Gan (L.S.F., A.H.), and the Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv (A.H.) - all in Israel.
Omri BodenheimerFrom the Faculty of Industrial Engineering and Management, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa (Y.G.), the Department of Statistics and Data Science, Hebrew University of Jerusalem (M.M.), and the Israeli Ministry of Health (O.B., N.A., S.A.-P.), Jerusalem, the Department of Plant and Environmental Sciences, Weizmann Institute of Science, Rehovot (Y.M.B.-O., R.M.), the Biostatistics and Biomathematics Unit, Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Sheba Medical Center, Ramat Gan (L.S.F., A.H.), and the Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv (A.H.) - all in Israel.
Laurence S FreedmanFrom the Faculty of Industrial Engineering and Management, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa (Y.G.), the Department of Statistics and Data Science, Hebrew University of Jerusalem (M.M.), and the Israeli Ministry of Health (O.B., N.A., S.A.-P.), Jerusalem, the Department of Plant and Environmental Sciences, Weizmann Institute of Science, Rehovot (Y.M.B.-O., R.M.), the Biostatistics and Biomathematics Unit, Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Sheba Medical Center, Ramat Gan (L.S.F., A.H.), and the Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv (A.H.) - all in Israel.
Nachman AshFrom the Faculty of Industrial Engineering and Management, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa (Y.G.), the Department of Statistics and Data Science, Hebrew University of Jerusalem (M.M.), and the Israeli Ministry of Health (O.B., N.A., S.A.-P.), Jerusalem, the Department of Plant and Environmental Sciences, Weizmann Institute of Science, Rehovot (Y.M.B.-O., R.M.), the Biostatistics and Biomathematics Unit, Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Sheba Medical Center, Ramat Gan (L.S.F., A.H.), and the Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv (A.H.) - all in Israel.
Sharon Alroy-PreisFrom the Faculty of Industrial Engineering and Management, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa (Y.G.), the Department of Statistics and Data Science, Hebrew University of Jerusalem (M.M.), and the Israeli Ministry of Health (O.B., N.A., S.A.-P.), Jerusalem, the Department of Plant and Environmental Sciences, Weizmann Institute of Science, Rehovot (Y.M.B.-O., R.M.), the Biostatistics and Biomathematics Unit, Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Sheba Medical Center, Ramat Gan (L.S.F., A.H.), and the Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv (A.H.) - all in Israel.
Amit HuppertFrom the Faculty of Industrial Engineering and Management, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa (Y.G.), the Department of Statistics and Data Science, Hebrew University of Jerusalem (M.M.), and the Israeli Ministry of Health (O.B., N.A., S.A.-P.), Jerusalem, the Department of Plant and Environmental Sciences, Weizmann Institute of Science, Rehovot (Y.M.B.-O., R.M.), the Biostatistics and Biomathematics Unit, Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Sheba Medical Center, Ramat Gan (L.S.F., A.H.), and the Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv (A.H.) - all in Israel.
Ron MiloFrom the Faculty of Industrial Engineering and Management, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa (Y.G.), the Department of Statistics and Data Science, Hebrew University of Jerusalem (M.M.), and the Israeli Ministry of Health (O.B., N.A., S.A.-P.), Jerusalem, the Department of Plant and Environmental Sciences, Weizmann Institute of Science, Rehovot (Y.M.B.-O., R.M.), the Biostatistics and Biomathematics Unit, Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Sheba Medical Center, Ramat Gan (L.S.F., A.H.), and the Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv (A.H.) - all in Israel.
Israel Ministry of Health · ILSheba Medical Center · ILWeizmann Institute of Science · ILHebrew University of Jerusalem · ILTechnion – Israel Institute of Technology · IL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundInfection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) provides natural immunity against reinfection. Recent studies have shown waning of the immunity provided by the BNT162b2 vaccine. The time course of natural and hybrid immunity is unknown.

methodsUsing the Israeli Ministry of Health database, we extracted data for August and September 2021, when the B.1.617.2 (delta) variant was predominant, on all persons who had been previously infected with SARS-CoV-2 or who had received coronavirus 2019 vaccine. We used Poisson regression with adjustment for confounding factors to compare the rates of infection as a function of time since the last immunity-conferring event.

resultsThe number of cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection per 100,000 person-days at risk (adjusted rate) increased with the time that had elapsed since vaccination with BNT162b2 or since previous infection. Among unvaccinated persons who had recovered from infection, this rate increased from 10.5 among those who had been infected 4 to less than 6 months previously to 30.2 among those who had been infected 1 year or more previously. Among persons who had received a single dose of vaccine after previous infection, the adjusted rate was low (3.7) among those who had been vaccinated less than 2 months previously but increased to 11.6 among those who had been vaccinated at least 6 months previously. Among previously uninfected persons who had received two doses of vaccine, the adjusted rate increased from 21.1 among those who had been vaccinated less than 2 months previously to 88.9 among those who had been vaccinated at least 6 months previously.

conclusionsAmong persons who had been previously infected with SARS-CoV-2 (regardless of whether they had received any dose of vaccine or whether they had received one dose before or after infection), protection against reinfection decreased as the time increased since the last immunity-conferring event; however, this protection was higher than that conferred after the same time had elapsed since receipt of a second dose of vaccine among previously uninfected persons. A single dose of vaccine after infection reinforced protection against reinfection.

Indexed as

COVID-19BNT162 VaccineCOVID-19 VaccinesHumansImmunity, InnateReinfectionSARS-CoV-2Time FactorsViral VaccinesBNT162 VaccineCOVID-19 VaccinesViral Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID35613036
PMCPMC9165562
OpenAlexW4281557772

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.