ArticleJMA journal2022
External Validation of a Prognostic Model Predicting Metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer Survival in Patients Receiving Post-Docetaxel Second-Line Chemotherapy.
Article in JMA journal, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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12 authors at 10 institutions in 1 country.
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Abstract
Introduction: The Halabi model predicts the overall survival (OS) of patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) treated with second-line therapy after docetaxel. We aimed to validate this model externally with an independent cohort, outside the setting of a clinical trial. Methods: In a multi-institutional study, we included 66 patients treated with cabazitaxel after docetaxel for mCRPC. Patients were stratified according to the two- and three-risk groups of the Halabi nomogram. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard analyses were performed to estimate survival and hazard ratios (HRs). The model performance was assessed using receiver operating characteristic curves, and the associated c-index (area under the curve [AUC]). Results: The median OS in the two-risk groups was 5.06 months in the high-risk group (n=22) and 12.9 months in the low-risk group (n=44, p<0.001). High-risk patients had an HR of 9.50 (95% confidence interval (CI) 4.12-21.6, p<0.001) compared to low-risk patients. For the three-risk groups, the median OS was 6.44 months in the high-risk group (n=15), 5.75 months in the intermediate-risk group (n=11), and 13.7 months in the low-risk group (n=40, p=0.84). Compared to low-risk patients, intermediate-risk patients had an HR of 7.49 (95% CI 3.08-20.4, p<0.001), and high-risk patients had an HR of 8.48 (95% CI, 3.39-21.7, p<0.001). The AUC was 0.72 (95% CI 0.64-0.76) for the two-risk stratification. When comparing different risks, the AUCs were 0.48 (high vs intermediate), 0.66 (high vs low), and 0.65 (intermediate vs low). Conclusions: The two-risk stratification version but not the three-risk group analysis confirmed the ability of the model to predict survival. These results support the value of the Halabi nomogram in men receiving post-docetaxel second-line chemotherapy for mCRPC.
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