SynthesisEuropean journal of cancer (Oxford, England : 1990)2022
Disease-free survival as a surrogate endpoint for overall survival in adults with resectable esophageal or gastroesophageal junction cancer: A correlation meta-analysis.
Synthesis in European journal of cancer (Oxford, England : 1990), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 8 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
22 citing papers in PubMed, 8 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 35 citations in OpenAlex.
- Does Lymph Node Dissection During Esophagectomy Impact the Long-Term Prognosis for Complete Responders After Neoadjuvant Therapy? A Meta-analysis.Annals of surgical oncology · 2026Pooled it
- Neoadjuvant Chemoradiation Versus Chemotherapy for Esophageal Cancer: A Histology-Stratified Update Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials.Annals of surgical oncology · 2026Pooled it
- Pooled it
- Impact of germline genetic variation on breast cancer prognosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis.BMC cancer · 2026Pooled it
- Relationship of D-dimer with survival and metastasis in gastric cancer patients: a meta-analysis and systematic review.BMC gastroenterology · 2025Pooled it
- Pooled it
- Meta-Analysis of Recurrence-Free Survival or Disease-Free Survival as a Potential Surrogate Endpoint for Overall Survival in Esophageal Cancer Trials.Cancer reports (Hoboken, N.J.) · 2025Pooled it
- Validity of Using Pathological Response as a Surrogate for Overall Survival in Neoadjuvant Studies for Esophageal Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.Annals of surgical oncology · 2023Pooled it
- Adjuvant chemoradiotherapy plus pembrolizumab for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma with high risk of recurrence following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a single-arm phase II study.Cancer immunology, immunotherapy : CII · 2024Trial
- Radiation dose and pathological complete response rate of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: a model-based dose-response meta-analysis.Strahlentherapie und Onkologie : Organ der Deutschen Rontgengesellschaft ... [et al] · 2026Article
- Response-adapted perioperative therapy for resectable esophageal cancer in the immunotherapy era: a narrative review.Journal of thoracic disease · 2026Review
- Radiographic progression-free survival as a surrogate endpoint for overall survival in first-line ARPi naïve metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer.The oncologist · 2026Article
- A pan-cancer analysis of the oncogenic role of KIF13A in human tumors.Discover oncology · 2025Article
- Real-world safety and efficacy of neoadjuvant docetaxel, cisplatin, and 5-fluorouracil therapy for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.BMC cancer · 2025Article
- Article
- Challenges and opportunities of predicting overall survival benefit from improvements to recurrence-free survival in stage II/III melanoma: a correlation meta-analysis.Immuno-oncology technology · 2025Article
- Qizhu Yuling prescription in the prevention of postoperative metastasis and recurrence of esophagus cancer: study protocol for a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicenter clinical trial.Frontiers in oncology · 2025Article
- Fecal, duodenal, and tumor microbiota composition of esophageal carcinoma patients, a longitudinal prospective cohort.Journal of the National Cancer Institute · 2024Article
- Recurrence-free survival as a surrogate endpoint for overall survival after neoadjuvant chemotherapy and surgery for oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma.The British journal of surgery · 2024Article
- Progression-free survival, disease-free survival and other composite end points in oncology: improved reporting is needed.Nature reviews. Clinical oncology · 2023Review
Corrections and comments
- Commented on by
Authors and funding
7 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectivesTo evaluate disease-free survival (DFS) as a surrogate endpoint for overall survival (OS) using aggregate-level data from resectable esophageal or gastroesophageal junction cancer (EC/GEJC) trials assessing therapies in (neo)adjuvant and perioperative settings.
methodsA systematic literature review was conducted to identify trials reporting OS and DFS, or compatible progression-free survival (PFS). Bivariate random-effects meta-analysis was used to estimate correlation between the treatment effects on DFS/PFS and OS, and weighted linear regression models assuming trial sample sizes as weights were used to estimate surrogacy equations. The primary analysis consisted of trials across all treatment settings, and secondary analysis consisted of trials only in the adjuvant setting. Leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) was performed to measure the stability and predictive accuracy of the surrogacy equations while surrogate threshold effects (STE)-the minimum treatment effect on DFS/PFS that would translate into a positive OS benefit-were derived to measure their usefulness.
resultsThe primary analysis included 26 trials. The estimated correlation coefficient between the hazard ratio (HR) of DFS/PFS (HR
conclusionsOur meta-analysis suggests that HR
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.