ArticleCommunications medicine2022
Malaria elimination on Hainan Island despite climate change.
Article in Communications medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 7 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed, 16 citations in OpenAlex.
- The probability of Plasmodium vivax acute illness following primary infection and relapse in Papua New Guinea.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2025Article
- Rising dengue risk with increasing El Niño-Southern Oscillation amplitude and teleconnections.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Intersecting Memories of Immunity and Climate: Potential Multiyear Impacts of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation on Infectious Disease Spread.GeoHealth · 2025Article
- Tracing the origins of Plasmodium vivax resurgence after malaria elimination on Aneityum Island in Vanuatu.Communications medicine · 2024Article
- Quantifying the impact of interventions against Plasmodium vivax: A model for country-specific use.Epidemics · 2024Article
- Disentangling local and global climate drivers in the population dynamics of mosquito-borne infections.Science advances · 2023Article
- Article
Corrections and comments
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
18 authors at 7 institutions in 4 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Background: Rigorous assessment of the effect of malaria control strategies on local malaria dynamics is a complex but vital step in informing future strategies to eliminate malaria. However, the interactions between climate forcing, mass drug administration, mosquito control and their effects on the incidence of malaria remain unclear. Methods: Here, we analyze the effects of interventions on the transmission dynamics of malaria ( Results: Prior to the massive scale-up of interventions, malaria incidence shows both interannual variability and seasonality, as well as a strong correlation with climatic patterns linked to the El Nino Southern Oscillation. Based on our mechanistic model, we find that the reduction in malaria is likely due to the large scale rollout of insecticide-treated bed nets, which reduce the infections of Conclusions: Although malaria transmission on Hainan Island has been exacerbated by El Nino Southern Oscillation, control methods have eliminated both
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.