ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Western Pacific2022
Elimination of HIV transmission in Japanese MSM with combination interventions.
Article in The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Prospects of HIV elimination among men who have sex with men: A systematic review of modeling studies.PLoS computational biology · 2026Pooled it
- Cost-effectiveness of concurrently available oral and long-acting injectable pre-exposure prophylaxis for preventing HIV infections among men who have sex with men in eastern China: A modelling study.BMC public health · 2026Article
- Analysis of trends and risk factors of HIV incidence in men who have sex with men in Chongqing, China: a retrospective cohort study, 2013-2022.BMC infectious diseases · 2026Article
- The impact of HIV prevention behavior patterns on infection risk among young men who have sex with men: a latent class analysis.BMC public health · 2026Article
- How Status Quo Bias Shapes Willingness, Uptake, and Adherence to PrEP Among Chinese MSM: A Behavioral Economics Perspective.Infectious diseases and therapy · 2026Article
- Association between participation in HIV stigma reduction program and HIV prevention awareness among men who have sex with men in Mongolia.Global health & medicine · 2025Article
- Associations between Social Capital and Self-Rated Health among Men Who Have Sex with Men in Japan.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Efficacy and Safety of Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis to Control HIV and Sexually Transmitted Infection Among Men Who Have Sex With Men: Protocol for a Single-Arm Interventional Study.JMIR research protocols · 2023Article
- Moving towards zero new HIV infections: The importance of combination prevention.The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Background: Japan has a concentrated HIV epidemic, with the majority of transmission among men who have sex with men (MSM). This study aimed to explore the effect of behavioral and biomedical interventions on the HIV epidemic and forecast the time required to eliminate HIV transmission among Japanese MSM. Methods: A deterministic compartmental model was built to estimate and forecast the HIV epidemic among Japanese MSM from 2010 to 2050. Elimination of HIV transmission among MSM was defined as incidence less than 1/1000 person-years. The time required for eliminating HIV transmission under different scenarios was calculated. Findings: Under the current policies, HIV transmission cannot be eliminated by 2050. Both behavioral and biomedical interventions can achieve elimination of HIV among MSM by 2050 with annual number of sexual partners among high-risk MSM less than 9, or with condom use rate above 65%, or with testing and treatment rate above 80%, or with more than 10% PrEP coverage rate. Under comprehensive interventions, HIV elimination will be achieved in 2032, 2025 and 2024 using weak, moderate and strong intervention combinations, respectively. Interpretation: Both behavioural and biomedical interventions can achieve elimination of HIV among MSM by 2050, but comprehensive interventions can accelerate the realization of this goal with higher feasibility. Funding: This study was funded by a Health and Labor Sciences Research Grant (Research on HIV/AIDS) from The Ministry of Health Labour and Welfare (21HB0701) and National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 81773543 and 81973150), and the KC Wong Education Foundation.
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