Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35597871›Full record

ArticleBritish journal of cancer2022

Gene-expression profiles of pretreatment biopsies predict complete response of rectal cancer patients to preoperative chemoradiotherapy.

Georg Emons, Noam Auslander, Peter Jo, Julia Kitz, Azadeh Azizian, Yue Hu, Clemens F Hess, Claus Roedel, Ulrich Sax, Gabriela Salinas and 8 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in British journal of cancer, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Targeting metabolic dependencies to reverse chemoradiotherapy resistance in colorectal cancer.Journal of experimental & clinical cancer research : CR · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Pan-ERBB Inhibitors Synergize With KRAS Inhibitors in Rectal Cancer.United European gastroenterology journal · 2025
    Article
  7. Review
  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Georg Emons *Section of Cancer Genomics, Genetics Branch, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Noam Auslander *Section of Cancer Genomics, Genetics Branch, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Peter Jo *Department of General, Visceral and Pediatric Surgery, University Medical Center, Göttingen, Germany.
Julia KitzDepartment of Pathology, University Medical Center, Göttingen, Germany.
Azadeh AzizianDepartment of General, Visceral and Pediatric Surgery, University Medical Center, Göttingen, Germany.
Yue HuSection of Cancer Genomics, Genetics Branch, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Clemens F HessDepartment of Radiotherapy and Radio-oncology, University Medical Center, Göttingen, Germany.
Claus RoedelDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University Hospital Johann Wolfgang Goethe University, Frankfurt, Germany.
Ulrich SaxDepartment of Medical Informatics, University Medical Center, Göttingen, Germany.
Gabriela SalinasTranscriptome and Genome Analysis Laboratory (TAL), Department of Developmental Biochemistry, University of Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany.
Philipp StroebelDepartment of Pathology, University Medical Center, Göttingen, Germany.
Frank KramerDepartment of Medical Statistics, University Medical Center, Göttingen, Germany.
Tim BeissbarthDepartment of Medical Statistics, University Medical Center, Göttingen, Germany.
Marian GradeDepartment of General, Visceral and Pediatric Surgery, University Medical Center, Göttingen, Germany.
Michael GhadimiDepartment of General, Visceral and Pediatric Surgery, University Medical Center, Göttingen, Germany.
Eytan RuppinCancer Data Science Laboratory, Center for Cancer Research, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Thomas Ried *Section of Cancer Genomics, Genetics Branch, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Jochen Gaedcke *Department of General, Visceral and Pediatric Surgery, University Medical Center, Göttingen, Germany. jochen.gaedcke@med.uni-goettingen.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6130-5874

Funding

Tumor Microenvironment and MetastasisP30CA010815 · NCI · WISTAR INSTITUTE · PI Luis J Montaner · 1985 to 2026
$75.9M
Discovery of genetic interactions in cancerZIABC011802 · NCI · DIVISION OF BASIC SCIENCES - NCI · PI RUPPIN, EYTAN · 2018 to 2025
$19.6M
Intratumor heterogeneity and tumor evolutionZIABC010834 · NCI · DIVISION OF BASIC SCIENCES - NCI · PI RIED, THOMAS · 2009 to 2023
$12.2M
Identification and functional characterization of colorectal cancer genesZIABC010833 · NCI · DIVISION OF BASIC SCIENCES - NCI · PI RIED, THOMAS · 2009 to 2022
$12.1M
Prediction of Therapy Response in Colorectal CancerZIABC010837 · NCI · DIVISION OF BASIC SCIENCES - NCI · PI RIED, THOMAS · 2009 to 2022
$8.9M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA010815
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposePreoperative (neoadjuvant) chemoradiotherapy (CRT) and total mesorectal excision is the standard treatment for rectal cancer patients (UICC stage II/III). Up to one-third of patients treated with CRT achieve a pathological complete response (pCR). These patients could be spared from surgery and its associated morbidity and mortality, and assigned to a "watch and wait" strategy. However, reliably identifying pCR based on clinical or imaging parameters remains challenging. EXPERIMENTAL

designWe generated gene-expression profiles of 175 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer enrolled in the CAO/ARO/AIO-94 and -04 trials. One hundred and sixty-one samples were used for building, training and validating a predictor of pCR using a machine learning algorithm. The performance of the classifier was validated in three independent cohorts, comprising 76 patients from (i) the CAO/ARO/AIO-94 and -04 trials (n = 14), (ii) a publicly available dataset (n = 38) and (iii) in 24 prospectively collected samples from the TransValid A trial.

resultsA 21-transcript signature yielded the best classification of pCR in 161 patients (Sensitivity: 0.31; AUC: 0.81), when not allowing misclassification of non-complete-responders (False-positive rate = 0). The classifier remained robust when applied to three independent datasets (n = 76).

conclusionThe classifier can identify >1/3 of rectal cancer patients with a pCR while never classifying patients with an incomplete response as having pCR. Importantly, we could validate this finding in three independent datasets, including a prospectively collected cohort. Therefore, this classifier could help select rectal cancer patients for a "watch and wait" strategy. TRANSLATIONAL RELEVANCE: Forgoing surgery with its associated side effects could be an option for rectal cancer patients if the prediction of a pathological complete response (pCR) after preoperative chemoradiotherapy would be possible. Based on gene-expression profiles of 161 patients a classifier was developed and validated in three independent datasets (n = 76), identifying over 1/3 of patients with pCR, while never misclassifying a non-complete-responder. Therefore, the classifier can identify patients suited for "watch and wait".

Indexed as

ChemoradiotherapyRectal NeoplasmsBiopsyClinical Trials as TopicHumansNeoadjuvant TherapyTreatment Outcome

Identifiers

PMID35597871
PMCPMC9381580

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.