Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35591208›Full record

ArticleSensors (Basel, Switzerland)2022

Deep Spatiotemporal Model for COVID-19 Forecasting.

Mario Muñoz-Organero, Paula Queipo-Álvarez

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Sensors (Basel, Switzerland), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.9field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  5. Review
  6. Projecting COVID-19 intensive care admissions for policy advice, the Netherlands, February 2020 to January 2021.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2024
    Article
  7. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Mario Muñoz-OrganeroTelematic Engineering Department, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, 28911 Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-4199-2002
Paula Queipo-ÁlvarezTelematic Engineering Department, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, 28911 Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0001-6952-2972
Universidad Carlos III de Madrid · ES

Funding

Agencia Estatal de Investigación AEI, doi 10.13039/501100011033 PID2019-105221RB-C44/AEI/10.13039/501100011033Agencia Estatal de Investigación MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033 PDC2021-121239-C33Comunidad de Madrid SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 supported with REACT-EU funds from the European regional development fund "a way of making Europe"
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

COVID-19 has caused millions of infections and deaths over the last 2 years. Machine learning models have been proposed as an alternative to conventional epidemiologic models in an effort to optimize short- and medium-term forecasts that will help health authorities to optimize the use of policies and resources to tackle the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Although previous machine learning models based on time pattern analysis for COVID-19 sensed data have shown promising results, the spread of the virus has both spatial and temporal components. This manuscript proposes a new deep learning model that combines a time pattern extraction based on the use of a Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) over a preceding spatial analysis based on a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) applied to a sequence of COVID-19 incidence images. The model has been validated with data from the 286 health primary care centers in the Comunidad de Madrid (Madrid region, Spain). The results show improved scores in terms of both root mean square error (RMSE) and explained variance (EV) when compared with previous models that have mainly focused on the temporal patterns and dependencies.

Indexed as

COVID-19ForecastingHumansMachine LearningNeural Networks, ComputerSARS-CoV-2COVID-19 forecastingdeep learningmachine learningmodel optimizationspatiotemporal model

Identifiers

PMID35591208
PMCPMC9101138
OpenAlexW4229049314

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.