Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35589908›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2022

Machine learning to predict end stage kidney disease in chronic kidney disease.

Qiong Bai, Chunyan Su, Wen Tang, Yike Li

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 45 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
45citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
20.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

45 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 147 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Observational
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Qiong BaiDepartment of Nephrology, Peking University Third Hospital, 49 North Garden Rd, Haidian District, Beijing, 100191, People's Republic of China.
Chunyan SuDepartment of Nephrology, Peking University Third Hospital, 49 North Garden Rd, Haidian District, Beijing, 100191, People's Republic of China.
Wen TangDepartment of Nephrology, Peking University Third Hospital, 49 North Garden Rd, Haidian District, Beijing, 100191, People's Republic of China. tanggwen@126.com.
Yike LiDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Bill Wilkerson Center, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA. yike.li.1@vumc.org.
Peking University · CNPeking University Third Hospital · CNVanderbilt University Medical Center · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to assess the feasibility of machine learning (ML) in predicting the risk of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) from patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Data were obtained from a longitudinal CKD cohort. Predictor variables included patients' baseline characteristics and routine blood test results. The outcome of interest was the presence or absence of ESKD by the end of 5 years. Missing data were imputed using multiple imputation. Five ML algorithms, including logistic regression, naïve Bayes, random forest, decision tree, and K-nearest neighbors were trained and tested using fivefold cross-validation. The performance of each model was compared to that of the Kidney Failure Risk Equation (KFRE). The dataset contained 748 CKD patients recruited between April 2006 and March 2008, with the follow-up time of 6.3 ± 2.3 years. ESKD was observed in 70 patients (9.4%). Three ML models, including the logistic regression, naïve Bayes and random forest, showed equivalent predictability and greater sensitivity compared to the KFRE. The KFRE had the highest accuracy, specificity, and precision. This study showed the feasibility of ML in evaluating the prognosis of CKD based on easily accessible features. Three ML models with adequate performance and sensitivity scores suggest a potential use for patient screenings. Future studies include external validation and improving the models with additional predictor variables.

Indexed as

Kidney Failure, ChronicRenal Insufficiency, ChronicBayes TheoremHumansMachine LearningRisk Assessment

Identifiers

PMID35589908
PMCPMC9120106
OpenAlexW4280580328

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.