Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35587517›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism2022

Repeat Bone Mineral Density Screening Measurement and Fracture Prediction in Older Men: A Prospective Cohort Study.

Kristine E Ensrud, Li-Yung Lui, Carolyn J Crandall, Eric S Orwoll, Lisa Langsetmo, John T Schousboe, Howard A Fink, Nancy E Lane, Deborah M Kado, Jane A Cauley and 2 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.4field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. The Osteoporotic Fractures in Men study (MrOS): a 25-yr landmark study of skeletal health in older men.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Femoral neck width is associated with unique trajectories of age-related hip structural changes and fracture risk within populations of adult women and men.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2025
    Article
  7. Site-specific volumetric skeletal changes in women with and without a distal forearm fracture: a case-control study with a mean 7-year follow-up.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 9 institutions in 1 country.

Kristine E EnsrudDepartment of Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9069-3036
Li-Yung LuiCalifornia Pacific Medical Center Research Institute, San Francisco, CA 94107, USA.
Carolyn J CrandallDepartment of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.
Eric S OrwollBone and Mineral Unit, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, OR 97239, USA.
Lisa LangsetmoCenter for Care Delivery and Outcomes Research, VA Health Care System, Minneapolis, MN 55417, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2245-1657
John T SchousboeHealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, MN 55425, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9329-0750
Howard A FinkDepartment of Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455, USA.
Nancy E LaneDepartment of Internal Medicine, University of California - Davis, Sacramento, CA 95817, USA.
Deborah M KadoDepartment of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94304, USA.
Jane A CauleyDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA 15261, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0752-4408
Marcia L StefanickDepartment of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94304, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0284-6996
Peggy M CawthonCalifornia Pacific Medical Center Research Institute, San Francisco, CA 94107, USA.
University of Minnesota · USCalifornia Pacific Medical Center · USGeriatric Research Education and Clinical Center · USMinneapolis VA Health Care System · USOregon Health & Science University · USStanford University · USUniversity of California, Davis · USUniversity of California, Los Angeles · USUniversity of Pittsburgh · US

Funding

Oregon Clinical and Translational Research Institute - The National COVID Cohort Collaborative (N3C)UL1TR002369 · NCATS · OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY · PI Cynthia D Morris, Christopher G. Slatore · 2017 to 2026
$78.4M
Oregon Clinical and Translational Research InstituteUL1TR000128 · NCATS · OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY · PI ELLISON, DAVID H · 2012 to 2015
$28.7M
Long term fracture risk and change in peripheral bone in the oldest old men: The MrOS studyR01AG066671 · NIA · CALIFORNIA PACIFIC MED CTR RES INSTITUTE · PI BOUXSEIN, MARY L, CAWTHON, PEGGY MANNEN · 2020 to 2024
$13.3M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) - San Francisco Coordinating CenterU01AR066160 · NIAMS · CALIFORNIA PACIFIC MED CTR RES INSTITUTE · PI CUMMINGS, STEVEN RON · 2013 to 2017
$9.3M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) - MinneapolisU01AG042145 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI ENSRUD, KRISTINE · 2013 to 2019
$5.3M
Osteporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS)- Admin CenterU01AG027810 · NIA · OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY · PI ORWOLL, ERIC S. · 2006 to 2017
$5.1M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) - PortlandU01AG042124 · NIA · OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY · PI ORWOLL, ERIC S. · 2013 to 2019
$3.0M
Osteoporatic Fractures in Men (MrOS)U01AG042168 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI KADO, DEBORAH · 2013 to 2017
$3.0M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (Mr. Os) Palo AltoU01AG042143 · NIA · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI STEFANICK, MARCIA L. · 2013 to 2017
$3.0M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (Mr.OS)U01AG042139 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI CAULEY, JANE ANN · 2013 to 2017
$2.9M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men_MrOS Renewal_BirminghamU01AG042140 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI SHIKANY, JAMES M · 2013 to 2019
$2.7M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000128NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002369NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR066160NIA NIH HHS R01 AG066671NIA NIH HHS U01 AG027810NIA NIH HHS U01 AG042124NIA NIH HHS U01 AG042139NIA NIH HHS U01 AG042140NIA NIH HHS U01 AG042143NIA NIH HHS U01 AG042145NIA NIH HHS U01 AG042168
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

contextWhether repeated bone mineral density (BMD) screening improves fracture prediction in men is uncertain.

objectiveWe evaluated whether a second BMD 7 years after the initial BMD improves fracture prediction in older men.

methodsAmong 3651 community-dwelling men (mean age 79.1 years) with total hip BMD at baseline and Year 7 (Y7), self-reported fractures after Y7 were confirmed by radiographic reports. Fracture prediction assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression and logistic regression with receiver operating characteristic curves for models based on initial BMD, BMD change, and the combination of initial BMD and BMD change (combination model).

resultsDuring an average follow-up of 8.2 years after Y7, 793 men experienced ≥ 1 clinical fractures, including 426 men with major osteoporotic fractures (MOF) and 193 men with hip fractures. Both initial BMD and BMD change were associated with risk of fracture outcomes independent of each other, but the association was stronger for initial BMD. For example, the multivariable hazard ratio of MOF in the combination model per 1 SD decrement in BMD was 1.76 (95% CI 1.57-1.98) for initial BMD and 1.19 (95% CI 1.08-1.32) for BMD change. Discrimination of fracture outcomes with initial BMD models was somewhat better than with BMD change models and similar to combination models (AUC value for MOF 0.68 [95% CI 0.66-0.71] for initial BMD model, 0.63 [95% CI 0.61-0.66] for BMD change model, and 0.69 [95% CI 0.66-0.71] for combination model).

conclusionRepeating BMD after 7 years did not meaningfully improve fracture prediction at the population level in community-dwelling older men.

Indexed as

Hip FracturesOsteoporotic FracturesAgedBone DensityHumansMaleProspective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk Factorsbone mineral densityfracture riskolder men

Identifiers

PMID35587517
PMCPMC9387719
OpenAlexW4280554015

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.