ArticleDeutsches Arzteblatt international2022
Heat-Related Mortality in Germany From 1992 to 2021.
Article in Deutsches Arzteblatt international, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 42 papers.
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Who cites it
42 citing papers in PubMed.
- Deaths During a Heat Wave.Deutsches Arzteblatt international · 2026Article
- Heat- and Cold-Associated Mortality in Germany, 2000-2023.Deutsches Arzteblatt international · 2026Observational
- KlimaNot-Effects of Climate Change on Emergency and Acute Care: Protocol for a Multicenter, Registry-Based Observational Cohort Study.JMIR research protocols · 2026Observational
- Community-dwelling older persons' level of functional ability and heat-related vulnerability: results from the Heat-Health Action Plan study in Cologne, Germany.BMC geriatrics · 2026Article
- Short-term effects and attributable burden of extreme heat and cold on dementia mortality: a case-time-series study in Hebei Province, China (2014-2022).BMC public health · 2026Article
- [Association between temperature, duration of sunshine and suicidal mortality in Germany (2015-2023)].Der Nervenarzt · 2026Article
- Short-term ambient temperature increases are associated with higher mortality in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: a case-crossover study of weather conditions.Frontiers in aging neuroscience · 2026Article
- Article
- Heat Exposure and the Risk of Emergency Hospitalization in Germany: Stratified Analyses by Age, Sex, and Diagnostic Group.Deutsches Arzteblatt international · 2025Observational
- Bioclimate analogue regions - finding present day examples for future bioclimatic conditions.International journal of biometeorology · 2025Article
- Extreme temperatures, recent warming and seasonal influenza-linking human exposures to respiratory health in southern Germany.International archives of occupational and environmental health · 2025Article
- Improvements in life expectancy mask rising trends in heat-related excess mortality attributable to climate change.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Climate Change and Prevention - Review of Prevention Indicators of the German Federal States in Relation to 'Climate Change and Health'.Journal of health monitoring · 2025Article
- Multiscale environmental drivers of human brucellosis transmission in Xinjiang: A spatiotemporal analysis integrating GAM and MaxEnt modeling (2015-2023).PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2025Article
- Dementia and Risks of Temperature-Related Mortality and Hospitalizations in Germany.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2025Article
- [Effects of high thermal stress on health-a nationwide analysis based on statutory health insurance routine data between 2012 and 2021].Bundesgesundheitsblatt, Gesundheitsforschung, Gesundheitsschutz · 2025Article
- The Spectrum of Heat-Related Diseases - A Meta-Review.International journal of public health · 2025Review
- Mortality in Frankfurt am Main, Germany, 2020-2023: higher excess mortality during an influenza wave in 2022 than during all COVID-19 waves altogether.GMS hygiene and infection control · 2025Article
- Physical environmental influences on human health.GMS hygiene and infection control · 2025Review
- Old-growth beech forests in Germany as cool islands in a warming landscape.Scientific reports · 2024Article
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5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
background2018-2020 were unusually warm years in Germany, and the summer of 2018 was the second warmest summer since record-keeping began in 1881. Higher temperatures regularly lead to increased mortality, particularly among the elderly.
methodsWe used weekly data on all-cause mortality and mean temperature from the period 1992-2021 and estimated the number of heat-related deaths in all of Germany, and in the northern, central, and southern regions of Germany, employing a generalized additive model (GAM). To characterize long-term trends, we compared the effect of heat on mortality over the decades.
resultsOur estimate reveals that the unusually high summer temperatures in Germany between 2018 and 2020 led to a statistically significant number of deaths in all three years. There were approximately 8700 heat-related deaths in 2018, 6900 in 2019, and 3700 in 2020. There was no statistically significant heat-related increase in deaths in 2021. A comparison of the past three decades reveals a slight overall decline in the effect of high temperatures on mortality.
conclusionAlthough evidence suggests that there has been some adaptation to heat over the years, the data from 2018-2020 in particular show that heat events remain a significant threat to human health in Germany.
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