Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35582964›Full record

ArticleCPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology2022

Introduction of an artificial neural network-based method for concentration-time predictions.

Dominic Stefan Bräm, Neil Parrott, Lucy Hutchinson, Bernhard Steiert

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in CPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  5. Review
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  9. Physiologically based pharmacokinetic modeling of small molecules: How much progress have we made?Drug metabolism and disposition: the biological fate of chemicals · 2025
    Review
  10. Review
  11. Low-dimensional neural ODEs and their application in pharmacokinetics.Journal of pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics · 2024
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Dominic Stefan BrämRoche Pharmaceutical Research and Early Development, Roche Innovation Center Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-9094-8361
Neil ParrottRoche Pharmaceutical Research and Early Development, Roche Innovation Center Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Lucy HutchinsonRoche Pharmaceutical Research and Early Development, Roche Innovation Center Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-3845-5460
Bernhard SteiertRoche Pharmaceutical Research and Early Development, Roche Innovation Center Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-1398-1624

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Pharmacometrics and the application of population pharmacokinetic (PK) modeling play a crucial role in clinical pharmacology. These methods, which describe data with well-defined equations and estimate physiologically interpretable parameters, have not changed substantially during the past decades. Although the methods have proven their usefulness, they are often resource intensive and require a high level of expertise. We investigated whether a method based on artificial neural networks (ANNs) may provide an alternative approach for the prediction of concentration-time curve to supplement the gold standard methods. In this work, we used simulated data to overcome the requirement for a large clinical training data set, implemented a pharmacologically reasonable network architecture to improve extrapolation to different dosing schemes, and used transfer learning to quickly adapt the predictions to new patient groups. We demonstrate that ANNs are able to learn the shape of concentration-time curves and make individual predictions based on a short sequence of PK measurements. Furthermore, an ANN trained on simulated data was applied to real clinical data and was demonstrated to extrapolate to different dosing schemes. We also adapted the ANN trained on simulated healthy subjects to simulated hepatic impaired patients through transfer learning. In summary, we demonstrate how ANNs could be leveraged in a PK workflow to efficiently make individual concentration-time predictions, and we discuss the current limitations and advantages of such an ANN-based method.

Indexed as

Neural Networks, ComputerHumansWorkflow

Identifiers

PMID35582964
PMCPMC9197537

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.