Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35582133›Full record

ArticleWorld journal of gastroenterology2022

Development and validation of a prediction model for moderately severe and severe acute pancreatitis in pregnancy.

Du-Jiang Yang, Hui-Min Lu, Yong Liu, Mao Li, Wei-Ming Hu, Zong-Guang Zhou

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in World journal of gastroenterology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed.

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  17. Pancreatitis in Pregnancy-Comprehensive Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Du-Jiang YangDepartment of Gastroenterological Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan Province, China.
Hui-Min LuDepartment of Pancreatic Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan Province, China.
Yong LiuDepartment of Gastroenterological Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan Province, China.
Mao LiDepartment of Pancreatic Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan Province, China.
Wei-Ming HuDepartment of Pancreatic Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan Province, China.
Zong-Guang ZhouDepartment of Gastroenterological Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan Province, China. zhou767@163.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe severity of acute pancreatitis in pregnancy (APIP) is correlated with higher risks of maternal and fetal death.

aimTo develop a nomogram that could predict moderately severe and severe acute pancreatitis in pregnancy (MSIP).

methodsPatients with APIP admitted to West China Hospital between January 2012 and December 2018 were included in this study. They were divided into mild acute pancreatitis in pregnancy (MAIP) and MSIP. Characteristic parameters and laboratory results were collected. The training set and test set were randomly divided at a ratio of 7:3. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was used to select potential prognostic factors. A nomogram was developed by logistic regression. A random forest model was used to validate the stability of the prediction factors. Receiver operating characteristic curves and calibration curves were used to evaluate the model's predictive performance.

resultsA total of 190 patients were included in this study. A total of 134 patients (70.5%) and 56 patients (29.5%) were classified as having MAIP and MSIP, respectively. Four independent predictors (lactate dehydrogenase, triglyceride, cholesterol, and albumin levels) were identified for MSIP. A nomogram prediction model based on these factors was established. The model had areas under the curve of 0.865 and 0.853 in the training and validation sets, respectively. The calibration curves showed that the nomogram has a good consistency.

conclusionA nomogram including lactate dehydrogenase, triglyceride, cholesterol, and albumin levels as independent predictors was built with good performance for MSIP prediction.

Indexed as

PancreatitisAcute DiseaseAlbuminsCholesterolFemaleHumansL-Lactate DehydrogenaseNomogramsPregnancyTriglyceridesAlbuminsCholesterolL-Lactate DehydrogenaseTriglyceridesAcute pancreatitisNomogramPrediction modelPregnancyRandom forestSeverity

Identifiers

PMID35582133
PMCPMC9048464

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.