Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35582112›Full record

ArticlePolicy and complex systems2021

Could periodic nonpharmaceutical intervention strategies produce better COVID-19 health and economic outcomes?

Raffaele Vardavas, Pedro Nascimento de Lima, Lawrence Baker

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Policy and complex systems, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Raffaele VardavasRAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA 90401, USA.
Pedro Nascimento de LimaRAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA 90401, USA.
Lawrence BakerRAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA 90401, USA.

Funding

Modeling the Coupled Dynamics of Influenza Transmission and Vaccination BehaviorR01AI118705 · NIAID · RAND CORPORATION · PI PARKER, ANDREW, VARDAVAS, RAFFAELE · 2016 to 2020
$2.1M
Health Outcomes, Risk Perceptions and Preventative Behavior on Social NetworksR21CA157571 · NCI · RAND CORPORATION · PI VARDAVAS, RAFFAELE · 2011 to 2012
$420k
NCI NIH HHS R21 CA157571NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI118705
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We developed a COVID-19 transmission model to compare the effects of nonpharmaceutical public health interventions (NPIs) on health and economic outcomes. An interdisciplinary approach informed the selection and use of multiple NPIs, combining quantitative modeling of the health and economic impacts of interventions with qualitative assessments of other important considerations (e.g., cost, ease of implementation, equity). We used our model to analyzed strategies that periodically switch between a base NPI and a high NPI level. We find that this systematic strategy could have produced similar health outcomes as static strategies but better social welfare and economic outcomes. Our findings suggest that there are opportunities to shape the tradeoffs between economic and health outcomes by carefully evaluating a more comprehensive range of reopening policies.

Indexed as

COVID-19economic outcomeshealth outcomesnonpharmeceutical interventions

Identifiers

PMID35582112
PMCPMC9109618

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.