Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35581626›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental health : a global access science source2022

Estimating cardiovascular health gains from eradicating indoor cold in Australia.

Ankur Singh, Anja Mizdrak, Lyrian Daniel, Tony Blakely, Emma Baker, Ludmila Fleitas Alfonzo, Rebecca Bentley

Open access · goldAbstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental health : a global access science source, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
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  5. Coronary artery culprit lesions progression and ambient temperature exposure - personalised analysis.Postepy w kardiologii interwencyjnej = Advances in interventional cardiology · 2024
    Article
  6. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Ankur SinghCentre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Level 3, 207, Bouverie Street, Melbourne, Victoria, 3010, Australia. ankur.singh@unimelb.edu.au.ORCID 0000-0003-1336-6493
Anja MizdrakDepartment of Public Health, University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand.
Lyrian DanielAustralian Centre for Housing Research, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, Australia.
Tony BlakelyPopulation Interventions Unit, Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.
Emma BakerAustralian Centre for Housing Research, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, Australia.
Ludmila Fleitas AlfonzoCentre for Health Equity, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.
Rebecca BentleyCentre for Health Policy, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.
The University of Melbourne · AUAustralian Housing and Urban Research Institute · AUUniversity of Otago · NZ

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundExposure to cold indoor temperature (< 18 degrees Celsius) increases cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk and has been identified by the WHO as a source of unhealthy housing. While warming homes has the potential to reduce CVD risk, the reduction in disease burden is not known. We simulated the population health gains from reduced CVD burden if the temperature in all Australian cold homes was permanently raised from their assumed average temperature of 16 degrees Celsius to 20 degrees Celsius.

methodsThe health effect of eradicating cold housing through reductions in CVD was simulated using proportional multistate lifetable model. The model sourced CVD burden and epidemiological data from Australian and Global Burden of Disease studies. The prevalence of cold housing in Australia was estimated from the Australian Housing Conditions Survey. The effect of cold indoor temperature on blood pressure (and in turn stroke and coronary heart disease) was estimated from published research.

resultsEradication of exposure to indoor cold could achieve a gain of undiscounted one and a half weeks of additional health life per person alive in 2016 (base-year) in cold housing through CVD alone. This equates to 0.447 (uncertainty interval: 0.064, 1.34; 3% discount rate) HALYs per 1,000 persons over remainder of their lives through CVD reduction. Eight percent of the total health gains are achievable between 2016 and 2035. Although seemingly modest, the gains outperform currently recommended CVD interventions including persistent dietary advice for adults 5-9% 5 yr CVD risk (0.017 per 1000 people, UI: 0.01, 0.027) and persistent lifestyle program for adults 5-9% 5 yr CVD risk (0.024, UI: 0.01, 0.027).

conclusionCardiovascular health gains alone achievable through eradication of cold housing are comparable with real-life lifestyle and dietary interventions. The potential health gains are even greater given cold housing eradication will also improve respiratory and mental health in addition to cardiovascular disease.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesAdultAustraliaBlood PressureCold TemperatureHousingHumansCardiovascular diseaseCVDIndoor coldPolicy simulation

Identifiers

PMID35581626
PMCPMC9112519
OpenAlexW4280522467

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.